Shinymeta
Shinymeta
  • Видео 10
  • Просмотров 15 912
Guild Wars 2's loot box: Secrets exposed from opening $50,000 worth of Black Lion Chests
QUICK NOTE: at 10:45, I said 1.25, instead of 1.225. all of the other numbers are correct, just a typo in my script! @_@
BLC Beta-Data Spreadsheet: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dp4TU3N_yN2b2WY8IYTavWzBpNiBrWXjklIWvJWrC0c/edit?usp=sharing
Interactive Timeline: time.graphics/line/11a381fa75bf08ba9b35d4fd14270597
Shiny's DATA Discord: discord.gg/DAj7xMEVRc
00:00 Intro
00:52 THE GOOD
01:07 What does it cost?
01:23 What do you get?
02:50 What are the droprates?
03:48 Is there a "pity" guarantee?
04:30 Wardrobe Unlockers
05:01 THE BETA
05:22 How the beta works
06:08 How I got data from opening $50,000 worth of BLC
07:26 THE UGLY
07:43 A quick note about Gemstore Mounts
08:43 #1 - Wardrobe Unlockers
09:42 #2...
Просмотров: 10 678

Видео

BL Dye Kits test
Просмотров 805 месяцев назад
Testing Anet's new droprate disclaimers, seem accurate! droprates buffed! Reddit post: www.reddit.com/r/Guildwars2/comments/1bj3amx/data_a_response_to_droprate_disclaimers_added_in/ Spreadsheet link: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SaZVMWEiOokAQsY1ALKJA7RiePImurUI_uvSzH3pbUw/edit#gid=1929405342
Buggets of Kryptis Essence
Просмотров 66910 месяцев назад
Apparently claiming the bouncy chest for these achievements will reset your progress on them. Claim them as soon as you can!
"Sniper, No Sniping!" Achievement Cheese
Просмотров 4,2 тыс.2 года назад
Have heard/seen mixed results since posting this, if this doesn't work for you, there is another cheese method with another player: Send one player through the sniping zone while the others hide behind a wall. They won't get the achievement if they are shot, but the others will. As soon as they reach the sniper, other players can follow and help fight the boss until they move. Rinse and repeat.
Beta Data #2 Raffle Stream/Podcast
Просмотров 332 года назад
Beta Data #2 Raffle Stream/Podcast
Beta BLC Key farm
Просмотров 192 года назад
Beta BLC Key farm
250+ BLC Keys for Beta Data #2 event
Просмотров 102 года назад
0:00 chapters 1:14 main 6:02 alt1 11:19 alt2 16:57 alt3 22:11 alt4
BLC Data Form Guide
Просмотров 1582 года назад
Explanation of the Data Form for BLC Beta Data 2 Event. Link to the public form: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fES1tLIsQNESytKDWd8RUk0D1w0gP_qwYq0q6AWOJmc/edit?usp=sharing Click File, then "Make a Copy" to make a personal copy to fill out.
Black Lion Chest BETA DATA Raffle/Podcast
Просмотров 572 года назад
Raffle winners: Desert King: Stormy.1852 dragonewyn.4869 Riki.7895 ZSGlitchy.7429 Arghbitar.3589 Kosmirion Epos.9214 Juuha.1345 Magical: Wariorogue.3941 nkn.2709 Bard: caja.4187 Frostfang: Krysis.5671
TimeKeeper is bugged
Просмотров 323 года назад
The glowy circular script is spinning much faster than it should be, reference this video from the release for comparison: ruclips.net/video/p02W5mggfBQ/видео.html

Комментарии

  • @michaelwhite4713
    @michaelwhite4713 16 часов назад

    Who buys keys for real 😂

  • @McPilch
    @McPilch День назад

    You're assuming droprates are not different between farmed and bought keys. Do this again spending actual money, or your data/title is rubbish.

  • @carloschoyalopez7950
    @carloschoyalopez7950 День назад

    Im sorry but didnt understand why 1hr equals 1 key. Is there any possible farm besides level 10 story chapter?

  • @asgarzigel
    @asgarzigel День назад

    Honestly the worst thing about BLCs is that they are just not fun to open. Which is also the best thing because it means I'm never really tempted to buy the keys.

  • @rabbit4400
    @rabbit4400 2 дня назад

    I dont think this is comparable to blizzard in terms of scandals. One word and GW2 can start doing the WoW method of implement subscription and then everyone has to pay. You can get all these things with ingame means. Money is just a shortcut and the people who make the game needs to be payed, there has to be a profit margin for the stock holders. If the game doesnt generate any profit there is no reason to keep it alive. Gambling is gambling no matter the odds or percentage. Its semantics imo. Its the only gambling mechanic in GW2 if you dont count the plasma one if its still a thing. Other games have buy price, season pass and only loot boxes in the reward systems. Blizzards failed moba for example, cant remember the name. Then we have the Diablo immortal thing. A game cant survive without playing to the capitalistic society we live in today so you cant escape it. Fun video though statistics wise and most have been a fun project with people participating and opening all the chests.

  • @Plight_
    @Plight_ 2 дня назад

    Thought your mic was a special effect for an intro or something 🤣

  • @fargonthebrave
    @fargonthebrave 5 дней назад

    it's RNG man we all know it's rigged in every game it's really not a big deal simple solution is don't buy BLK I've never bought keys with money only trading gold for gems and Ive got a permanent hair contract and bank tab.

  • @EtherealBeing
    @EtherealBeing 6 дней назад

    Sigh... thanks anet....

  • @La.máquina.de.los.sueños
    @La.máquina.de.los.sueños 7 дней назад

    already spent 100$ and an other time about 70$ to get exclusives but didn't... nowadays I only go for the statuettes and just ignore my chests drops.

  • @kibbnnuyy
    @kibbnnuyy 7 дней назад

    ill never blame anyone for using systems that exist in a game, i will always blame out of touch greedy devs and publishers for creating a disease in any form, however. people blaming folks for falling into predatory traps are just as bad as the traps being placed, and their originators. also, Infusions are overpriced garbage.

  • @greschenglin-dz7wj
    @greschenglin-dz7wj 7 дней назад

    "prioritizes fixes to the gem store." Gem Store on my PC: "My existence is pain. Please. Put me out of my misery."

  • @SnoreBearz
    @SnoreBearz 8 дней назад

    I never knew how lucky i am watching this lmao

  • @SilhouetteGaming1
    @SilhouetteGaming1 9 дней назад

    This is an excellent video covering BLCs. I personally dont purchase keys.

  • @bernardoxbm
    @bernardoxbm 10 дней назад

    Poor rich kids

  • @Druidtwink
    @Druidtwink 11 дней назад

    Can't see the angry comments through my exclusive demon mask (don't ask how many keys I used)

  • @ripexx6600
    @ripexx6600 11 дней назад

    spend 50k on a new mic bro

  • @waddehaddedudedah
    @waddehaddedudedah 13 дней назад

    Well I never bought the keys but you get some keys ingame here and there

  • @Rel-qm2gh
    @Rel-qm2gh 14 дней назад

    Yes, it is a fraud. I've seen it for myself. A thousand times better to spend that gold or gems on upgrading the account directly.

  • @jazzanarchy
    @jazzanarchy 15 дней назад

    I appreciate all the work that went into this. I guess I just don't see where the misleading part is, as far as exclusive skins are anyway. According to your data, even with the mount skin in the loot table the percentage is much higher than 3%?

    • @ShinymetaGW2
      @ShinymetaGW2 14 дней назад

      In the case of the Exclusives, you could argue that Anet is "underpromising and overdelivering". However, probability is a zero sum game, if one thing is under reported, another is over-reported. - I showed in the video that the Super rare category is over-reported beyond margin of error. - Also, if you try to make the official disclaimers add up to 100%, you have to assume the rare drops lean heavily to the high end of the 0.3-2.0% range, which would also be over-reported. This is one reason why I feel ANY inaccuracy in the droprates is problematic. There are also psychological factors in making players feel "luckier" than reported rates, something that game devs have been known to do with things like crit-rate, but becomes sketchier when money is involved.

  • @krazyrabb1t855
    @krazyrabb1t855 15 дней назад

    Can't relate with this one 🫠

  • @alexjgvs
    @alexjgvs 16 дней назад

    When you've never played an actual predatory game like ESO, you complain about stuff like this lol

  • @patrickdrury6407
    @patrickdrury6407 16 дней назад

    Black lion chest, your rate of getting anything worthwhile is WELL KNOWN to be almost infinitesimally small. Nice of you to support the game tho, kudos for that.

  • @dariocarrasco1728
    @dariocarrasco1728 16 дней назад

    this needs to be heared, love gw2 but i cant ignore this, ty for the information, suscribed

  • @Seishou90
    @Seishou90 16 дней назад

    The actual video starts at 12:30

  • @cierrablue
    @cierrablue 16 дней назад

    I've gotten a lot of great loot from Trading chests. Sorry to see so many salty players. Sour grapes I guess.

  • @BlailTheSongbird
    @BlailTheSongbird 17 дней назад

    This guy sounds really hot. Also, he knows what he is talking about.

  • @thearashisenpai
    @thearashisenpai 17 дней назад

    Ive got better stuff from free and dropped keys than the bought ones. Every other gem key was for getting statues.

  • @looksee2575
    @looksee2575 18 дней назад

    Dont gable ? IMPOSIBLE

  • @comradecrusader6712
    @comradecrusader6712 18 дней назад

    For loot boxes, I'd like to at least give some credit to GW2, these ones are much more tame and available to people than others. To start, you can reasonably get keys for free, from leveling quests (which you can do weekly) and some expansion quest rewards, which is a large change form many others where the ability to try your chances is either limited to pitiful drops from events or locked completely behind a paywall. For every chest, you get at least some currency which you can stack to buy specific Black Lion Chest items, which is also much better than almost all other loot boxes where you can't even have a guarantee that you'll EVER get a specific drop. The common pool is full of either usable items or crafting materials that are unreliable to get (might/magic trophies), which means at least you can get some use out of bad rolls unlike other loot boxes where the commons are all just bad skins. As much as I dislike loot boxes, I'll give them these ones. No loot box is ever going to be a "good" thing, but for a lootpool of (for the most part) one-off cosmetics and some super expensive usable items, the problems with this are pretty tame. I'll give you the numbers, though. Don't lie about numbers. Shouldn't have to say it, but last I checked lying is bad.

  • @WolfsFriend42
    @WolfsFriend42 18 дней назад

    It only takes a max of 15 minutes to get 1 BL Key using the weekly key farm.

    • @ShinymetaGW2
      @ShinymetaGW2 17 дней назад

      This is true! My estimation was based on repeatable methods such as completing 3-4 maps or buying gems after a goldfarm, and giving a round number for viewers unfamiliar with GW2.

  • @Koakoa45
    @Koakoa45 18 дней назад

    I got a party skiff from a chest I randomly opened. Got a few skins. usually just junk.

  • @RyanApplegatePhD
    @RyanApplegatePhD 18 дней назад

    So much complaining - if you don't like it, don't use it. The transparency crisis that seems to bother people... get over it.

  • @monica46549841
    @monica46549841 18 дней назад

    It's funny to see you all defending the company that's willing to advertise new powerful weapons that come with the new expansion but then Nerf it a month literally ripping you off and messing with the attributes that made you want to buy the product in the first place. A company that's willing to put silvers along with platinums in PvP making losing some matches literally unavoidable. As well as shady practices like making new traits are specializations overpowered at lunch so people would want to buy them

  • @wickedfuctup
    @wickedfuctup 18 дней назад

    I would argue that the infinite extractor is the most valuable. Being able to rip runes from gear and not only using it but selling it would be more profitable than anything

  • @banana_1_
    @banana_1_ 18 дней назад

    You're just a salty poor gamer, get a job

  • @xXimakidXx
    @xXimakidXx 18 дней назад

    interesting video, since launch i have bought exactly 0 keys tho so whatever. if u buy keys.. get scammed by yourself i guess

  • @fatmanpez
    @fatmanpez 19 дней назад

    Jade Bots in general need more relevancy, they should have way more skins that are available and those skins should be half the price of a Mount Skin at that being how small they are. Aside from Fishing and Mounts, the other features introduced in prior Expansions aren't particularly relevant outside of their Expansions which is a shame because Jade Bots, Skiffs, Gliding and Bounties should be implemented in the other maps. Rifts they've added to Janthir which is neat but that to I think could use some more spread than the few maps in Core Tyria that has them. All in all that's what would bring more reason to make more skins and reduce the price as more players would be choosing and buying them because I'm not spending however much it was to get a floating cat Jade Bot Skin when I hardly use the thing.

  • @kaelinvictus6039
    @kaelinvictus6039 19 дней назад

    Opened chests regularly until pre EOD and the results were within range of this research. i used to get the featured rare skins like gliders and/or chair within 5-15 keys from saved weekly key farms. Today I used my last 40 keys and didn't even get the featured skins aside from useless dye kits. Double stattuete only proc'd once + a single ticket scrap. I did get an omnomberry node and a glyph but dang the usual useful drops feels so scarce now.

  • @sebastianhanichen8516
    @sebastianhanichen8516 19 дней назад

    Your mic sounds a bit tinny. I am no audio engineer, but i recon an equalizer could boost the sound quality somewhat, by filtering out some dominant frequencies and amplifying others. Great video anyways, thanks for all the research.

    • @ShinymetaGW2
      @ShinymetaGW2 17 дней назад

      Someone with more know-how than me could probably clean up the recording from my wireless headset mic, but for future vids, I bought a better desk mic XD. Thanks for the feedback and kind words!

  • @mazuz642
    @mazuz642 19 дней назад

    Bro, first of all, no one told you to do this, and second, GW/ArenaNet doesn't control your will. You spent $50 grand on keys and expect a 100% chance of getting a super rare item that only has a 0.3% probability. "The problem is you not the game"

    • @embreis2257
      @embreis2257 19 дней назад

      if you watched the clip you'd know he didn't do any of this. a number of players did 'map completion' with beta characters and collected data on the BLC drop chances. these players relayed their data back to him.

  • @MrQuay03
    @MrQuay03 19 дней назад

    I got a bunch of Keys and chests but never used them.

  • @sceadumor
    @sceadumor 19 дней назад

    I'm personally angry that there hasnt been a new double statuette in the "seasonal spot" it seems for over a year. I have 200 keys that I have been holding for along time.

  • @BonkMachine
    @BonkMachine 19 дней назад

    I got 2 contracts in under 200 Keys, hair and Bank lol

  • @RodrigoAguiar-u8j
    @RodrigoAguiar-u8j 19 дней назад

    Imagine being mad about rng on a gacha system where you can farm and get almost everything for free just playing the game. LOL

  • @sevenember3332
    @sevenember3332 19 дней назад

    I mostly so batch openings of chests when keys go on sale to get the utility items like revive orbs and primers. Anything I get beyond that is just bonus to usually be turned into gold. I have noticed though, that the exclusives drop for me much more frequently and with less keys since they moved them to the statuette store. Pretty much the only time I’ve had to buy an exclusive was when I was away from the game for a few months

  • @smokeydabeecharlescoleman8365
    @smokeydabeecharlescoleman8365 19 дней назад

    I don't get drops at all on my account so why would I ever buy keys ,lol. 11 years in game. The only precursors I have ever gotten are ones I forged.

  • @rotip309
    @rotip309 19 дней назад

    I thought you were schaffrillas and I was like HOLY DAMN SCHAFFRILLAS PLAYS GUILD WARS 2?!

  • @basharic3162
    @basharic3162 19 дней назад

    Of all the nothingburgers I've ever come across in my 51 years this has to be the nothingnest. The data is interesting but if you didn't know the BLCs were sucker bets before this you are a fool. They are there for people who have money to throw away. 80 percent of the keys I've used came from game drops. But I make a point to buy a few gems with real money almost every month. I figger I get so much enjoyment out of the game something that roughly averages out to $20/month is worth it to me. That's only a few bucks more than a single movie ticket in my town, and doesn't even count snacks. Usually it's for a shiny bauble off the store as a treat for myself, sometimes I just dump it into gold if nothing is grabbing me as I hate farming gold. About once a year there'll be nothing pressing on either of those fronts so I'll splurge on some keys for the hell of it. There is nothing in the BLC or the gem store you need to play GW2 content, other than the expacs. There's a lot players may want but not need. I've bought 20 keys before and got bupkis, but I just got a key off completing the second IoJ map and got that greatsword chair/glider/weapon skin combo and a guaranteed wardrobe unlock. The other memorable "win" from randomly getting a single key was I got the derpy unicorn pegasus gryphon skim. RNG is RNG. Trying to stir drama about optional shit is stupid. If you're so weak-minded as to be manipulated by FOMO may you should do a reevaluation of your life. If you're an obsessive completionist you have only yourself to blame. If it were easy to do it wouldn't be special.

  • @sldjflaskjfdalksjfla
    @sldjflaskjfdalksjfla 19 дней назад

    I dont get it. You are whing about unfair Lootboxes? Its still one of the best if not the best Solution in this business!!!!? btw i got 1 Superrare and i never buy any keys ...

  • @Rmbao
    @Rmbao 19 дней назад

    I'm okay with people gambling for rare cosmetics