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ING Economics
Добавлен 7 апр 2017
Follow us to stay a step ahead as our economists try to make sense of the world.
The summer feel-good factor didn't last long
As the nights start to draw in across Europe, we're becoming more gloomy about the world's economic prospects. And ING's Carsten Brzeski is looking very carefully at how global central banks are going to respond. Interest rate cuts are coming.
Просмотров: 538
Видео
Trump v Harris: 3 likely scenarios
Просмотров 478День назад
From the domestic economy to trade to foreign policy, what can we expect from the different US election scenarios? Our quick-fire video gives you some answers
Turmoil, rate cuts and the dollar's upcoming decline
Просмотров 27028 дней назад
There's a feeling in the markets that the US Fed left it too late to cut interest rates, which stoked recession fears. But ING's Global Head of FX Research, Chris Turner, says the FX market was likely the source of the volatility, notably the unwinding of dollar/yen positions. Now that some calm has been restored, Chris looks at how expected US rate cuts in September will affect the FX market o...
Has the Fed overcooked the interest rate cycle?
Просмотров 3928 дней назад
FX markets have seen a volatile summer as fears have grown over a sharper US slowdown. Has the Federal Reserve kept rates too high for too long? We continue to look for a soft landing in the US and weak recoveries in Europe and Asia, says ING's Chris Turner
Bank of England set to press on with further rate cuts in 2024
Просмотров 194Месяц назад
The Bank of England has cut rates for the first time in over four years but is choosing to stay tight-lipped on expectations for future easing. We think better news on services inflation and wage growth can unlock one, or more likely two rate cuts by year-end, says ING's James Smith
Why we think the Federal Reserve will hold out for a September rate cut
Просмотров 298Месяц назад
Recent US data releases may be giving policymakers greater confidence that inflation is moving steadily along the right path, but we still think September will be the turning point for the Fed's road to rate cuts. Here, ING's James Knightley shares his thoughts as to why - and everything he thinks we should be expecting this week from the central bank.
Why the global economy needs a half-time pep talk
Просмотров 161Месяц назад
There’s nothing like a concerned manager giving his or her team a good talking to to boost their chances of winning the game - just look at the Euro football championships. So, halfway through the year, how worried or encouraged should we be about the global economy?
Why a global downturn in business investment matters to everyone
Просмотров 1182 месяца назад
It's a global investment conundrum. In the States, the economy’s doing well, but business investment is way down from what we might expect. It's a similar story in Europe but for somewhat different reasons. So what's going on? And what needs to change? Our economists in New York and Amsterdam have some answers.
The honeymoon for Britain's new Prime Minister is set to be short-lived
Просмотров 1662 месяца назад
Britain's got a new Prime Minister and government after Labour's crushing victory in the general election. But what will - what can - change? We look at the huge challenges Sir Keir Starmer is facing.
What next in the EU - China electric vehicle trade battle?
Просмотров 1682 месяца назад
Talks between China and the European Union continue as trade tensions mount. Electric vehicles are in focus; the EU thinks they're being unfairly subsidised. China's hitting back with 'unfair trade' accusations. So, what is going on? And how might this end? We get the views from our economists in Germany and Hong Kong.
We're still in the shade as to when the UK will cut rates
Просмотров 2732 месяца назад
Just when will the Bank of England cut interest rates? It's August for us here at ING, although others think it'll be much later. Our James Smith says that although inflation is back to target, there are still some concerns. Elections in the UK and France also complicate the picture regarding the value of the pound.
3 things the Fed needs to see before it starts cutting rates
Просмотров 2002 месяца назад
We're still looking for US interest rate cuts from September. The Federal Reserve doesn't want to cause a recession if it can help it and if the data allows it to start making monetary policy less restrictive, they'll likely take that opportunity. But, as ING's James Knightley explains, they need to see progress on inflation, the labour market and consumer spending.
All eyes on Europe
Просмотров 1333 месяца назад
We've had an ECB interest rate cut, we've got European elections, and don't forget about the football! As Carsten Brzeski tells us, Europe is back in the international spotlight. But for how long?
Why credit markets are in a 'weird state'
Просмотров 4053 месяца назад
Credit markets are in something of an inflection point where spreads are incredibly tight and are going to struggle to get tighter. That's according to ING Credit Strategist Tim Rahill, who tells us just what's going on and what it might take to move the markets away from their range-bound direction.
The worrying US wealth divide
Просмотров 2693 месяца назад
The US consumer is what drives the US economy. But we're starting to see a few cracks in what could be a weakening story here - and this will be an area to watch as the wider economy slows through the second half of this year, says ING's James Knightley
Why a rate-cutting ECB won't be too worried about the euro
Просмотров 3913 месяца назад
Why a rate-cutting ECB won't be too worried about the euro
Why Europe is dancing to a different tune
Просмотров 3454 месяца назад
Why Europe is dancing to a different tune
Copper's price dips, but the metal's still red hot
Просмотров 5584 месяца назад
Copper's price dips, but the metal's still red hot
The tech titans battling for AI dominance
Просмотров 1994 месяца назад
The tech titans battling for AI dominance
Why we've made big changes to our US outlook
Просмотров 6064 месяца назад
Why we've made big changes to our US outlook
Smells like green shoots and exorbitant privilege
Просмотров 1965 месяцев назад
Smells like green shoots and exorbitant privilege
The eurozone economy's sunnier spring forecast
Просмотров 1875 месяцев назад
The eurozone economy's sunnier spring forecast
We're laser-focused on the dollar's decline
Просмотров 4995 месяцев назад
We're laser-focused on the dollar's decline
FX Talking: Carry trade set to dominate
Просмотров 4016 месяцев назад
FX Talking: Carry trade set to dominate
Our top calls for the future of scaling up hydrogen
Просмотров 906 месяцев назад
Our top calls for the future of scaling up hydrogen
Watch: Reasons to be cheerful on the global economy
Просмотров 2007 месяцев назад
Watch: Reasons to be cheerful on the global economy
Three things holding back renewable energy progress
Просмотров 5957 месяцев назад
Three things holding back renewable energy progress
There's more going on in the eurozone economy than you think
Просмотров 2597 месяцев назад
There's more going on in the eurozone economy than you think
Watch: The market's bet against central banks could be misguided
Просмотров 2008 месяцев назад
Watch: The market's bet against central banks could be misguided
The EU said clearly that May wouldn't have a stronger hand in the negotiations if she got a big majority; so she won't have a weaker hand, now that she hasn't.