Видео

MSTR bonds have a duration of 4+ years and Bitcoin's worst 4 years rolling returns are 26% CAGR because the new BItcoin issuance halves every 4 years and the number of $ in circulation are much higher. That's the infinite money glitch.

Awesome video! I'm a big Elon fa an dtrust him using the wealth for the good of humanity. 1 trillion USD😂 is truly an ungodly amoint of momey. You could build, shape, influence, cripple, crumble or even destroy entire natuons just with rhe interest paid from treasury bills woth that amount😂

Per Grayscales website, their SOL/share is now 0.074. Not long ago it was 0.37. Seems they have diluted the stock value by issuing more shares but not acquiring more SOL.

Americas spending? More like Republicans spending issues. They ALWAYS run up the budget when they’re in there, slashing taxes for the rich.

Should we really call Social Security and Medicare entitlement? That is our money taken specifically out of our pay checks. Don't touch it.

Why not start by addressing the fraud that is medicare advantage?

Do your homework..Elon Musk: Everything You Didn't Know About His Sh*tty Past ..He was and is a part of the spending crisis.

DO NOT TRUST SAYLOR

great video Sumit, first time that i watch your channel, just subscribed

FXXK NVDU just drop $15 why? no news!

Bruh, what’s up with them eyebrows?

Thanks so much for this video, I was trying to find information on why the stock dropped so much but I couldn’t find any, thank you

Thank you for your analysis. I think that was a very balanced explanation of microstrategy. Microstrategy is, by far, the best investment of my lifetime, but I will treat it the same as my Bitcoin investment in that when the bull cycle is over, probably somewhere around $200,000 to $300,000 for bitcoin, I will exit most of the stock and wait for the market to correct. Although the premiums for microstrategy May ebb and flow, the price of Bitcoin has a reliable history of constantly going up over the long-term so I think microstrategy is here to stay as long as they don't do anything stupid. With all of the US debt, the US dollar is headed for an inevitable catastrophe Bitcoin has proven itself to be an outstanding way to diversify outside of the US dollar. I don't see a scenario where Bitcoin goes up in the long-term and microstrategy doesn't go up as well. It's a volatile stock so the short-term really doesn't matter to me. The big daily and weekly swings are to be expected. Thank you for your analysis.

… And less than two months later Tuttle himself is having a hard time arranging his counter parties to issue swaps even at 2X! Difficult. My sympathies.

Great analysis🎉🎉🎉 lm going to short MSTR tomorrow december 4, 2024. This is so overvalued its so stupid. Hahaha

this will be worth dollars in crypto bear market lol that's why I'm adding MSTZ slowly :)

He just announced he bought more on Dec 1, 2024. We'll find out how much on Monday.

This guy figured out how to scam people out of their money🤣🤣🤣

Thanks for the forecast! Could you help me with something unrelated: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?

There are investment funds that are required by their charter to only buy bonds/convertible bonds. (I'm sure you know bonds are paying around 4% interest right now.) These investment funds believe 5 year exposure to MSTR stock (via convertible bonds), even with the premium they are paying, will net them WAY more than a bond with 4% interest. If you look at a 5 year ROI chart for BTC you will see it spends very little time under 200%. Based on this info, the investment funds have decided to go BIG on MSTR convertible bonds. And I think they will continue to do so even when / if BTC crashes. TBH, buying these bonds would yield the best if they are purchased anywhere near the bottom of a bear market. In fact I would expect MSTR on buy LARGER sums of BTC during a bear market, and at higher premiums for their convertible bonds!

Good explanations Sumit, but I have to correct one thing that you said: you're saying that Saylor was talking about a $500M/day in investment gains, and that he is being misleading. That is not the case at all. He was refering to the BTC YIELD. He was refering to the fact that they were generating $500M/day in BTC yield in average from their capital activities, if you converted the BTC in USD at the current BTC price. Of course BTC yield is not earnings per se, but it has an earnings-like effect for shareholders, as it increases the value of each share, tax free. That is why he is comparing the BTC yield of MSTR to earnings of other companies. I think you should clarify that in an upcoming video. Thanks.

House of cards

Long term capital management made over

Fatal flaw to this and every other MSTR analysis is forgetting that bitcoin isn't "going up". Bitcoin is being adopted and being bought up during what looks retrospectively like a limited time when fiat can buy reasonable amounts. When bitcoin is millions of dollars and even billions of dollars a coin, the US dollar will have a relatively weaker role in the financial market as a liquidity. Much more US dollar will be needed to buy everything, just like has been happening since its inception. Even Trump is embracing crypto, as there is a better chance to make crypto great by the USA stockpiling it than there is a chance of making the US dollar great again. With 36 trillion in debt why bother to make the US dollar any stronger? Wealth is no longer backboned on an effort to collect more dollar bills, now wealth is an effort to own and even self custody precious assets and capital that will ensure longevity and staying power in the financial space you wish to occupy. In a bitcoin bear market, where bitcoin falls back down to the $75k level or higher from then true end of this bull cycle, MSTR has no problems. As a matter of fact any entity with hundreds of thousands of bitcoins today or at any point in the future will never have a 1 billion dollar problem. MSTR has a 100 billion dollar problem right now, and it's a damn good problem to have if you ask me.

Great explanation, well done. 👍

It's a Ponzi scheme built on top of a Ponzi scheme. Or more accurately a pyramid scheme built on top of a pyramid scheme. Long term short

Its neither. Its just a company that sells a product (convertible bonds) to a captive market and stacking sats.

Thank you for this. Have been seeing MSTR stock take off but I didn’t quite understand why. This explained it perfectly.

Wow. Mstu = mstr on steroids 🤑🤑🤑. I just invested in mstu today for the first time. I will keep on investing.

Bitcoin price goes up forever. That's where the free lunch comes.

Best mstr analysis I have seen so far, totalling more than 10 of them. Personally I will ride on it a little bit further and then convert it all back to Bitcoin ETFs.

Wall Street is just waiting to short the shit out of the company

Theranos 0.2

I'm replacing/updating my electronic toys this shopping season to last through the next 4 years while I still can.

Companies’ CEO’s will fly to Mara Lago, kiss the ring, make some kind of deal that benefits someone in the Trump family. The tariff will reduce to 0.1%. It’s all about the deal.

Haha, bro, you do not understand economics 😂 Bro name me one statistic that's been accurate to reality 🤣😂 They are literally a joke because they're not accurate

I got MSTU and up 155% beautiful money …just wait a micro dip of 10-15$ and get in .

MSTU is the best ❤

I'm guessing you don't have any idea what a delta neutral hedge is or a CDS is. Or a Gamma neutral sale is. The big boys that know what there doing inside a convertible bond construct will always do fine with these products unless MSTR becomes insolvent. Because there are no Credit Default Swaps on MSTR. You greedy retail holders are just cannon fodder. You'll be destroyed to the tune of 70-80 % on a mere 20-30% correction in BTC. While the big boys will ride that without pain because they're 100% delta hedged. If you don't know what that means I suggest you stay away from this situation.

This didn’t age well

MSTX is only 1.75 MSTR. MSTU is the 2x version

The downside to it is leverage decay. Say MSTR is at $100 then goes down 20% to $80 that means MSTU would go down by 40% to $60. Then let's say MSTR goes up 25% the next day back to $100 ($80x.25 = $20). That means MSTU will go up by 50% to $90 ($60x.5=$30). So even though MSTR essentially did not move and came back up to where it was MSTU did not.

So Matthew discussed what happens if the underlying stock goes straight up and what happens if it goes straight down, what I would be interested in hearing from him, is what happens if while the general trend is up, there are highly volatile swings up and down in that general trend upwards

MTSU premiums😍

MSTX needs to get their act together. It hasnt been performing 2x more like 1.5x.

What happens if the stock shoots up, how can they adquire enought liquidity from prime brokers? if MSTR rockets up isn't it dangerous as the strain could be big. Whats the worst case scenario?

I'm more inclined to put money into the TSX right now. Trump seems to have zero clue as to what he's doing, and if Canada moves away from trading so much with the US, then so be it. We could just as easily trade with the EU or Britain.

Something needs to be done regardless of how we feel aboit tarifs because the US has a trade deficit of 1.8 trillion dollars. That means the US has given 1 trillion dollars in business to the world then us. This is lopsided anyway you look at it.

The Fund is not suitable for all investors. The Fund will lose money if the underlying security performance is flat over time, and as a result of daily rebalancing, the underlying security’s volatility and the effects of compounding, it is even possible that the Fund will lose money over time while the underlying security’s performance increases over a period longer than a single day. The Funds seek daily inverse leveraged or long leveraged investment results and are intended to be used as short-term trading vehicles. The Funds are not intended to be used by, and are not appropriate for, investors who do not intend to actively monitor and manage their portfolios. The Funds’ investment adviser will not attempt to position each Fund’s portfolio to ensure that a Fund does not gain or lose more than a maximum percentage of its net asset value on a given trading day. As a consequence, if a Fund’s underlying security moves more than 50%, as applicable, on a given trading day in a direction adverse to the Fund, the Fund’s investors would lose all of their money.

In chaos, theft is much easier Ready yourselves for a new crop of Oligarchs.