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MGCovers
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Добавлен 17 янв 2019
Professional sports handicapper
NCAAB sports betting preview for 11/24/24 #sportsbetting #mgcovers #ncaabasketball #ncaab
Link to NCAAB lines
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQtGskUJKyORa3VrfelVlX8fhoZlE3Lg5HCC-RMutGHK3rwGWH6BHUhyWQgN5Yu_N-GH3RexgPK1VCN/pubhtml?gid=1758669056&single=true
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Want to learn how to build stat models?
www.mgcovers.com/funnel/stat-model/op3-page-64e3baccce42c/
Sign up for just $99.95/monthly - all picks all sports
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Lis...
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQtGskUJKyORa3VrfelVlX8fhoZlE3Lg5HCC-RMutGHK3rwGWH6BHUhyWQgN5Yu_N-GH3RexgPK1VCN/pubhtml?gid=1758669056&single=true
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/
Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly
www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/
Want to learn how to build stat models?
www.mgcovers.com/funnel/stat-model/op3-page-64e3baccce42c/
Sign up for just $99.95/monthly - all picks all sports
www.mgcovers.com/register/daily-picks/
Lis...
Просмотров: 131
Видео
NBA sports betting totals model #mgcovers #sportsbetting #nba #sportsgambling #sportsbook
Просмотров 37014 часов назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
11/18/24 Episode 35 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 14816 часов назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
Unlock Winning NBA Betting Strategies: The Key to Profiting from Fatigue & Scheduling #sportsbetting
Просмотров 260День назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
11/11/24 Episode 34 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 12714 дней назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
How to Profit with Moneyline Dogs: Betting Strategies for NHL, NBA, & Soccer #sportsbetting #nba
Просмотров 48114 дней назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
11/4/24 Episode 33 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 16821 день назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
How to Build a Winning NBA Sports Betting Model: Key Stats You Need to Know! #sportsbetting #nba
Просмотров 57721 день назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
10/28/24 Episode 32 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 14228 дней назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
NHL Betting 2024: Essential Tips for Bigger Profits! #sportsbetting #nhl #sportsbook
Просмотров 361Месяц назад
Sign up for just $499 for an entire year ($1200 if paid monthly) 60% savings! - all picks all sports all power rankings and coaching videos. www.mgcovers.com/register/yearly/ Want to learn the sports handicapping business? Get access to my power rankings and coaching videos for just $49.95/monthly www.mgcovers.com/register/coaching/ Want to learn how to build stat models? www.mgcovers.com/funne...
10/21/24 Episode 31 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 185Месяц назад
10/21/24 Episode 31 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
All my NCAAF lines for week #8! #sportsbetting #ncaaf #mgcovers #sportsbook #sportsgambling
Просмотров 407Месяц назад
All my NCAAF lines for week #8! #sportsbetting #ncaaf #mgcovers #sportsbook #sportsgambling
10/14/24 Episode 30 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 221Месяц назад
10/14/24 Episode 30 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Mastering Line Movement: NFL & NCAA Betting Strategies Explained #sportsbetting #nfl #mgcovers
Просмотров 543Месяц назад
Mastering Line Movement: NFL & NCAA Betting Strategies Explained #sportsbetting #nfl #mgcovers
10/7/24 Episode 29 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 224Месяц назад
10/7/24 Episode 29 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
How to profit in sports betting only using line movement #sportsbetting #championsleague #soccer
Просмотров 630Месяц назад
How to profit in sports betting only using line movement #sportsbetting #championsleague #soccer
9/30/24 Episode 28 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 206Месяц назад
9/30/24 Episode 28 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
College football free plays for 9/28 #sportsbetting #mgcovers #ncaaf
Просмотров 209Месяц назад
College football free plays for 9/28 #sportsbetting #mgcovers #ncaaf
Proven Betting Strategies for College Football: Maximize Your Profits! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
Просмотров 508Месяц назад
Proven Betting Strategies for College Football: Maximize Your Profits! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
9/23/24 Episode 26 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 1862 месяца назад
9/23/24 Episode 26 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
NCAAF college football sports betting preview week #4 #sportsbetting #ncaaf #mgcovers
Просмотров 3802 месяца назад
NCAAF college football sports betting preview week #4 #sportsbetting #ncaaf #mgcovers
9/16/24 Episode 26 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 1882 месяца назад
9/16/24 Episode 26 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
NFL Betting Strategies: How Recency Bias Impacts Line Movements #mgcovers #nfl #sportsbetting
Просмотров 3492 месяца назад
NFL Betting Strategies: How Recency Bias Impacts Line Movements #mgcovers #nfl #sportsbetting
Our Final MLB Results for 2024: The Breakdown #mgcovers #sportsbetting #sportsgambling
Просмотров 932 месяца назад
Our Final MLB Results for 2024: The Breakdown #mgcovers #sportsbetting #sportsgambling
Sports Betting Models: Back Testing & Power Rankings in Google Sheets #sportsbetting #mgcovers
Просмотров 4082 месяца назад
Sports Betting Models: Back Testing & Power Rankings in Google Sheets #sportsbetting #mgcovers
NFL week 1 sports betting preview! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
Просмотров 4592 месяца назад
NFL week 1 sports betting preview! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
Stop creating sports betting lines for your stat models! Do this instead! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
Просмотров 5332 месяца назад
Stop creating sports betting lines for your stat models! Do this instead! #sportsbetting #mgcovers
2 Proven Strategies to Avoid Losing Money Betting on College Football! #mgcovers #sportsbetting
Просмотров 4512 месяца назад
2 Proven Strategies to Avoid Losing Money Betting on College Football! #mgcovers #sportsbetting
Week 0 College Football sports betting preview #mgcovers #sportsbook #sportsbetting #ncaafootball
Просмотров 3103 месяца назад
Week 0 College Football sports betting preview #mgcovers #sportsbook #sportsbetting #ncaafootball
8/19/24 Episode 22 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Просмотров 2393 месяца назад
8/19/24 Episode 22 Underdog Sniper Podcast #sportsbetting #mgcovers #sportsgambling
Thank you so much, I got interview with them on Wednesday for the position as sports betting ambassador, I am interested learning as much possible.
Good luck man!
Note - Northwestern State was loaded as Northwestern and incorrect. So, that play is now a no play.
Through week 12, this strategy appears slightly better than breakeven, hitting 54%. 3% ROI would suggest put your $ elsewhere.
What stats were you using? Also if model was hitting 54% and you are playing ML dogs instead of taking points, roi would be significantly higher. Can you send the log to mg@mgcovers.com. Love to see it?
I heard one long time handicapper who makes his own models no longer bets nba because he thinks its a guessing game. Dont think hes wrong
NBA definitely not easy. Need a good model and also have to handicap subjective factors as well.
awesome content. you said thhis would be good for Mlb, NFL, NcaaB. What would the high and low limits from the average be on those?
What about hockey…. Does the goalie truly matter? Has me thinking
Could always test. Run model without it and then maybe run a model only using the goalie.
45 units in baseball is nuts...I know alot of people who handicap baseball and there models...are more advanced...it just proves me u don't need to know coding and all that
@@constructionisdangerous We got it to 50 this year late august and should have called it a season. Wagered deep into September and lost 15 units and finished with 35.
The goalie element is what creates the randomness, you could have the #1 team in the NHL against team #32 and team #1 dominates and loses to a goalie with a 50 save effort. The goalie skill and form has to be factored in.
Great video. Appreciate your content
Thanks for watching! Appreciated!
Hey Mg hope all is well, im jus here studying ur vids, wanted to know if u have a video detailing how to correctly and accurately pick money lines, I like props and all but I like ML AND O/U if u dont have one speaking about these things can we plz have it!! Thank you god bless
I do need to make a video on props.
Quick question. I know that you often look at Pinnacle when researching line movement. You also looked at Bookmaker in the video. Are there any other sharp books that you look at? Do you ever look at books like DraftKings or FanDuel?
For me that's it. I do know Circa is considered a sharp book. Also remember hearing a sharp mention that Draft Kings or Fan Duel was sharp for props. Can't remember which one it was.
@ thank you sir!
For that Denver Nuggets game their best players wife was having a baby so he didn't play at the last minute.
Perfect! Makes sense.
You one in a million man really appreciate all the free game you give us couldn't get this knowledge nowhere
MG has single handedly changed my betting style and perspective. And has been going great
Man greatly appreciate it. Love teaching the bizz.
@@iandecuir9366Thanks man!
Boss, i have a strategy that pays 50 to 1, but my win is around 3%, the strategy has a positive expected value, but the win rate is too low, I'm risking 0.34% of my account, what do u advice i do, Should i keep on with the strategy?
@@edikanmatthew8078 Ha!
Does this apply to college basketball and nba?
And college football as well?
@@raywilliamsjr.4725 Overall, yes. For me, now, I just use "bottom up" philosophy which means plays are based off model so times I'm sure when Im playing "public teams" but for major market games for college sports this would be applicable.
What would be a good stat to build a model based on game totals?
I think defense gets neglected in determining a score which is what you want for totals. Public and books will gravitate towards offensive stats but using only defensive stats for any sport really might be a way to create a good model.
@ thanks MG!
You can't learn to win until you lose.
THat's solid!
interesting...im guessing you lose a bit, but when you win, you WIN DAMN BIG!
Yes sir!
Makes sense!!love money line dogs!!!cash many in my life I been betting for 56 years!!many years crushing every sport!!find your edge crush!!Great work!!good luck everyone!!
Awesome! Congrats on your success.
In NBA, West underdogs vs East is 7-2 last 7 days.
@@louismagee9715 love it
Wow I never thought to think of it this way I always thought well what if they only lose by so much but by then you’re correct if there is no inkling of them possibly winning I’m already over half way to losing. Thank you for the intel my good sir.
Yes sir! Thanks for watching
MG 101 - long term coin flips, take that dog money notwithstanding how you feel about the "teams".
Ha! Yes sir
I always look at voter registration and it all points towards Trump. Early vote all points towards Trump. Muslim community in Michigan voting all points towards Trump. Union voters voting Trump all points to him. Going to come down to if it's too big of a margin to cheat.
Yes, correct. Anticipating “fraud” their strategy was push for early voting and focus on swing states.
Oh variance really
I'm using total team rebounds Assist per game
Like it! Both of those are probably undervalued.
@mgcovers it had Memphis last night
Very informational! Awesome content !!!
Thanks for watching!!! 🙏🙏
Appreciate your content MG! I'm excited for the stat model class
Yea me too! Content will be solid!!!
Dope 🔥🔥🔥
Thanks for watching!
🎉🎉🎉
Enjoy your content. I don't have the time for making models with my work, but in terms of NFL handicapping, is it best to look at last 3 games played compared to regular Season? Take last 3 games played and merge home/away stats to spot positive/negative regression? What stats should I look at from recent performance compared to the current season to get an idea on teams? I'm old school pencil and paper type as I try to keep things simple, but at a loss at times. Sorry for mumbo jumbo, but curious. Gracias.
Great question! Scratch H/A stats no edge for home teams in NFL. This sport has experienced a paradigm shift in last 3 years. Defense plays cover 2 man - they want to prevent the big play. So teams are willing to give you lots of yardage and if you posses the ball for a 6 min drive but only score a FG that's a "win" for the defense. QB play is soooo important. Back up QB versus Goff in TN/Detroit game - Better QB wins and it wasn't even close. Looking at recent plus YTD is probably best imo for stats. Hope that helps!
@mgcovers Appreciate the reply. Doesn't emotion matter in terms of playing at home against a division rival in an exhausting game where when looking for an emotional lift, the crowd feeds into your veins? What YTD and recent stats gives the New York Jets a right to be a -2 point favorite at home with a 2-6 record versus a Texans team who's 6-2? What intangibles that I'm missing is giving NYJ that respect?
@@nathantoth1527 Rogers still respected in the market place. Favored 5/7 game this year and home teams "perceived" to have an edge by the market place. Line is based on market perception - no stats factored into line.
@mgcovers Amen dude. Interestingly, I took HOU YPPT (Road Yards Per Point Differential, subtract Defense from Offense) on the Road you get -2.08, NYJ (Home Yards Per Point Differential) at home is -0.60. Giving NYJ a difference from HOU of +1.48 Rating. Appreciate your time.
Sad part if you take time off you lose opportunity usually!!!that why your stats are very important !!you need too know break even and everyone struggles with wagering strategy!!! You got too fine want you do best and master it!!find your edge run with it!!it is these clowns they say you can't do it but you can work hard and learn what what actually works!!!I made money in the NFL 30 out of 39 years!!it can be done! 2014 I was 21-1-2 that year!!!over 95 percent that was ats!!!!
Sadly back doors are part of the game!!!happening everyday in all sports!!!!it is a bankroll killer!!!great stuff!
Awesome! Thanks for watching and chiming in.
Sooo if a game is -105 v -125 And it changes to +105 v -125 Then changes back to +105 v-125 What side is the Shape side?
Because I seen that happen & the +105 that kept switching loss
@@nieyakaoir1884 -125 if line doesn't move, the line favors this side.
So for tonight you have Utah ranked in the top 10 as a home dog vs an bottom Colorado team. Is that a red flag or great value on Utah?
Utah not ranked in the top 10.
Oooh I realized the rankings are based on your model. I was going by the NHL website. My bad lol
@@mgcoversflames game falls under that criteria today. Based on your model
@@primeva7579 Yes, correct.
Thanks MG!👊🏿💯
@@nkredibleblakk thanks for watching!
Not on faq and suppprt address is incorrect, very disappointing
@@lukenettles-nt6sk Agree that support is lacking. Same challenges I had trying to get plays corrected.
How do track bets using the camera / photos
@@lukenettles-nt6sk Explain? Not sure I understand.
MG your podcast has taught me and other individuals alike a great deal of information of what it's like to handicapping sports. I would recommend this channel to anybody who's a beginner like me wanting to seek and indept Informative Day by Day approach to betting. Appreciate all you do MG!👊🏿💯
My Favorite Better Talking About My Favorite Sport , Football crushed me this weekend looking forward for a turn around in todays hockey slate
thanks for watching. Good luck man
Amazing video. Thanks for this
Are these nba videos still relevant now MG? Trying to look into this section since nba starting this week.
yes but would wait until you have at least 5 games of data or maybe more.
What are key team stats to look at in football to help with your picks?
Looking back at some of my underdog picks, this makes a lot of sense. Thanks for putting it into perspective!
Yes sir. Important nugget to remember.
Please do a line movement video for basketball.
Will do!
Thanks MG!!!!!
U R Welcome! Thanks for the support.
What app do you use to see all line movements?
bookmakers review dot com.
I’m curious what statistic made you determine those huge underdog cashes with UTEP and NMSU
Can't actually show model or stats I use but as far as modeling goes - important to emphasis via your line those stats that correlate more to winning.
@@mgcovers 🫡