- Видео 150
- Просмотров 9 154
Fred Atwater
Добавлен 3 апр 2011
Trade of the Day
I used to publish these on a website that I ran called "Trade the Trap" but my viewership was incredibly low.
Still have low viewership, but that is not why I am doing this. I am doing this to help those that are truly pursuing either a part time or a fulltime career as a trader.
good luck!
TraderFred
Still have low viewership, but that is not why I am doing this. I am doing this to help those that are truly pursuing either a part time or a fulltime career as a trader.
good luck!
TraderFred
Просмотров: 20
Видео
Sunday Night Futures Open
Просмотров 4820 часов назад
Traders, tonight the SP500 futures market gapped down 100 points. I have led you through my analysis process with all of the videos preceding this one. You only trade in one direction::: THAT OF THE BIG TRADERS. When the bear is in town, you follow the bear. When the bull is in town, you follow the bull. There is no loyalty to direction in professional auction-trading. You must purchase your in...
Part II Learning your First Trade - Read time and sales and incorporate it (hint: use a size filter)
Просмотров 772 часа назад
If you do not use the time and sales, you do not belong trading nor do you belong in any form of educational trade content that pushes your system or your indicator products. You do not need indicators. Candle-sticks are literally an indicator... they show you price was here... and now its here... thats it. There is literally no coherent way to interpret price action on a chart, unless you foll...
Weekend Academics -- Learn your first Orderflow Trade
Просмотров 734 часа назад
This is the first trade I learned how to do (it is also the first trade that my institutional mentor was shown how to do) Everything else I do on the DOM and FP is a result of learning this first trade. TraderFred
Live Trade Utilizing Inside Bid/Offer and DOM Fair Price line - BOOK SWEEP action
Просмотров 657 часов назад
This is what a "book sweep" looks like. It can be very advantageous to know what is happening and to revert (ALWAYS GO TO YOUR CHECKLIST)... to procedure, procedure, procedure. This is the same way I flew fighters and attack aricraft for the first 20 years.. I learned to trade doing this part time.. and when I resigned from flying, it was with the confidence that I could do this full time. Than...
How to Read the Inside Bid and Inside Offer
Просмотров 587 часов назад
This is a weekend homework/review assignment Watch as I break down how to read the inside bid and inside offer and the interaction, which is the real-time market generated information
Friday COT/TPO/Inventory weekly review
Просмотров 477 часов назад
Good morning traders. This is a weekly procedural overview that I do of the market on Friday mornings. Im so glad that this information is making its way to some people that really wish to understand how to successfully trade. Reference material for orderflow traders is available from the following recommended sources: Kai Whitney, Neerav Vadera, Michael Valtos, and another guy called "Mr Order...
Jan 30 2025 SP500 High-level activity -- the large players are selling
Просмотров 659 часов назад
I started shorting the market last Friday. The direction is still on until we see large (10,000 Offer Activity that is accepted) The market is fractal, and it is interpretable with both a solid understanding of the way the stock market moves, and with transactional receipts evidence that the large sellers are selling. Institutions are posturing risk-off. TraderFred
Retail Flush -- This is what precedes the trap set
Просмотров 519 часов назад
This is a debrief to myself about some mistakes I made this morning that drove my p'L negative before I realized my error and corrected. TraderFred
Apply "Sqd, Cap, IB, Price" to all timeframes and/or volume frames
Просмотров 369 часов назад
This is a breakdown of why I am in short-the-market mode. It's more than just today.. you have to look at the macro-events and I dont care about news stories or interest rates or whatever blithering headline idiocy happens. Use fact, not fiction and use checklist discipline to organize your thoughts and intentions into actionable steps and drive your p/l positive instead of the constant -p/l th...
Watch as I debrief myself on today's trading. ALWAYS DEBRIEF!!
Просмотров 4212 часов назад
Use the DOM Recenter on Bid/Ask Function to view Fair Price on a 2500ms DOM. When I flew for the US Air Force, we strictly enforced an "ALWAYS DEBRIEF" policy, which meant going over the mission details, the mission engagements, and any post-mission lessons learned. This is the same discipline that I have applied to becoming a successful retail trader. This was a very very challenging road and ...
DOM Interpretation using a 2500ms interval checklist
Просмотров 5412 часов назад
Please review this video prior to live trading session
Pre-Market 29 Jan 25 & Bonus "Sqd/Cap/IB/Price" Checklist
Просмотров 3212 часов назад
This pre-market analysis contains CME group account info, FOMC discussion, and a DOM checklist to help guide you through execution. TraderFred
Shorting the Market. How to Read the center column of the DOM in context
Просмотров 6814 часов назад
Shorting the Market. How to Read the center column of the DOM in context
Part 3 - Advanced Trading on the DOM -- How to Spot the Trap on the DOM itself
Просмотров 6916 часов назад
Part 3 - Advanced Trading on the DOM How to Spot the Trap on the DOM itself
Pre-Market Analysis 0500 Chicago Time 27Jan25
Просмотров 4216 часов назад
Pre-Market Analysis 0500 Chicago Time 27Jan25
What is clustering and how to use it to your advantage
Просмотров 11319 часов назад
What is clustering and how to use it to your advantage
Weekend Academics - The Phenomena of The Master Pattern
Просмотров 7921 час назад
Weekend Academics - The Phenomena of The Master Pattern
Watch as a HUGE bid steps in my way -- $1.3Billion Dollar Bid
Просмотров 52День назад
Watch as a HUGE bid steps in my way $1.3Billion Dollar Bid
Bullish Percent Point and Figure SP500 Index
Просмотров 4014 дней назад
Bullish Percent Point and Figure SP500 Index
Procedural Implementation of the SuperDOM
Просмотров 9321 день назад
Procedural Implementation of the SuperDOM
Thanks Fred. Keep posting and I keep learning!
Thank you so much for this Fred. God Bless.
In terms of directional bias, when a big order (100+) hits the tape, when do we denote it as significant pressure towards the respective direction, and when do we note that as inventory dealers need to get rid of as they've taken the other side?
Use the DOM trap-sequence (Sqd, Cap, IB, Price) at the level the large player is
How do you configure the pullback bar to count down the number of contracts left before the next one starts?
Use a countdown timer study on sierra
@ ok thanks
Just to clarify, the pullback bar automatically resets itself upon a new high or new low of the developing bar. The contract-remaining countdown thing is counting the remaining volume to 10k on the developing bar
@ yes that’s the one I was curious about the count down for the number of contracts left before the next bar…. Also is your setup a numbers bar with column one as just volume or is there more than just one column. I am building a new chart book this weekend using market profile and volume bars instead of candles
@@aaronburns3511 short video explanation link to my numbers bars settings drive.google.com/file/d/15TWnAmXC__vnp34ZH5guRY3MIddMpMfR/view?usp=drive_link
I forgot to add to this commentary, so I will here... Your HIGHEST probability entry is not from the initial move that I showed you above... your actual highest probability of success (especially as a newbie) is to wait for the retest. Go back and look at the setup in that video, and then look at the retest candle... that retest, where the candle tail pokes up into the large transaction tail is a "retail flush" and it is used by the MM to fulfill any remaining orders from the large seller (the MM is "clearing" inventory -- meaning, run the price up, sell the remaining inventory at the last known liquidity point) and...well then the MM just pulls the bid, and traders like me start hitting the bid hard... which is why you get the price reversal. So, in short... wait for that retest... that is the correct, disciplined way to do it (even though my aggressive way I showed you is something I learned to do with experience) TraderFred
As a beginner this is what I needed. A place to start the process. Thanks man!
Awesome thank you for sharing Fred! Very practical. Love it.
Thanks.
Thanks Fred.
+18.75 pts for the day
thank you Fred!
I'm a Bit 🙏
Hi Fred, thanks for zooming in on those stats. I have been doing this now for around 33 years now and the lamps aren't what they used to be. 😁 Anyhow I find your videos very insightful and appreciate the time and effort you put into them. All the best.
Thanks for sharing Fred!
Maybe they are removing the risk because of the news related to Ai and Nvidia which will affect Es?
Idk why it is risk off. Its not important other than to identify its risk off
Great stuff Fred!!
Hi Fred, throughout your video's you speak of "a high number, a high number, and a low number in-between" however I can't quite make out the stats in the videos. I'm assuming you are speaking of Min, Max, and final delta, correct? I also use a 10k chart and when I get finish delta of 0-5, plus or minus, I consider it fair value or an equilibrium point in the market. What would you say your criteria is for a small number? Thanks.
Yes, an ideal number is -5 to 0 or 0 to 5. Yes its the relationship of min/max and net delta. “Large” means the total max or total min delta is near to the net delta and it is approximately 10-20% of the total volume of the bar. I just use the phrase “large and balanced with little in the middle” to make it easier to rapidly communicate. From a business standpoint, it means that the large trader (a Market Maker) has absorbed all the available liquidity at a level and it forms a concentration of volume that becomes fair-price. It is important to find this anchor point so you can draw liquidity projection lines off of the anchor point I learned that technique from Michael Valtos (another institutional trader that has a lot of resources online)
@ForJL reference is Michael Valtos’ video here: ruclips.net/video/hhvs7cYd5SM/видео.htmlsi=KAubYY1aMR2Q7YlZ
@@FredandChase Hi Fred, I am familiar with the work of Michael Valtos, thanks. Also, I get the "little in the middle" now. Appreciate the clarification.
The market is in a sell condition today. Do not be deceived by price. The Traps on the high side are much more powerful than the ones on the bottom
Thanks for sharing fred!
About 10 years ago I started noticing the volume in the tails of the wicks of the candles I had displayed seemed to have some functional correlations with the price action. I was ok at identifying to go long or short but my stops had to be incredibly wide and uncomfortable. I remember asking myself in a self driven debrief item “how are the traders I see there in the tails getting in and how do I know to get in with them. How do I do that???? This video shows you exactly how to get in on the tails and be out at the peak… its all based on orderflow interpretation and the training to do so. Not only did I figure out how to get in on the tails with the big volume players, I learned how to detect them and anticipate them. When you study how they work… and are mentored by multiple different market makers… and ONE Institutional market maker (Kai Whitney)… well you start to figure out a way to interpret what you know about the market into a coherent narrative and consistent identification of value. And now I am able to Teach and share what I have learned… and one of you actually tried what I showed you and saw for yourself that it works. This is how you literally draw the retail candlesticks so they can CHASE IT and take in the risk that I am about to transfer to you at fair price… have fun with that hot-potato.. Ill go back to the “secret” place I got my supply from before (back to the trap) and bring it again and again… retail does not know what they are doing. That is why they fail 95% if the time… its because they think they are arrogantly smart enough to figure it out without professional guidance-- because thats what I was doing.. trying to figure it out without professional mentorship. I was the one in my own way… and so are you. Trading is hard… it comes down to you… your risk management protocol and discipline, and you need to be shown by an experienced and professional trader, like I was. It gives ne so much joy to have that response that someone tried my technique and it worked… that is a lifelong goal. People haven’t listened to me about how to successfully trade the market.. they just know Im a good trader with good results. I think I was blocking people from hearing me because of my approach to teach the subject. Most traders dont want to do the hard work to become successful… why would they up against odds that 95% of you will fail and 5% will succeed. Who in their right mind would do that. Well I did. You can, too. TraderFred
Great explanation. This really helps. Thanks agin!
dude! curios question, can't we just scalp up and down using the SQD etc.? like scalp 1st hour of open like all scalpers
actually my bad, isn't that what you do? lol
Yes you can scalp up or down this way, but if you are not in alignment with the Higher-Time-Frame, your results will vary more than going in alignment with the bigger-money. That is up to the individual trader, and you can set your own rules to match your trading style and risk tolerances.
@@Lazy-d4b It turns into a scalp until the market shows me more. You just reset your checklist at each level. If it breaks through a level and holds (trust but verify with a new checklist)... then you can add and let it run. Get out when opposite direction traders bounce the price... Sometimes you get a huge winner this way, but you don't know if that's going to happen, so you enter the trade (put money on the table), manage the risk, add to it if its going to run, and then exit. Whenever you enter a trade, you have a probability of 50% right and 50% wrong... because you do not control the actions of other traders. To risk mitigate this factor, you enter with 4-6 ticks of risk and manage your stop once other seller (or buyer) imbalances show up and you get continued price confirmation. Then and only then do you add to the trade. The Risk:Reward can be greatly skewed in your favor when you trade this way. It's 100% about risk mitigation and proper, timely adherence to trade location (by understanding fair value) is your key to survival in the long term in this business. This technique is 100% repeatable on any timeframe, in any product.
@ AMAZINGG! its like slot machine lol.... when do you personally call it a day? do you have personal daily goals? like 2 trades a day after open and done for the day etc.
@@Lazy-d4b Yep. Its an ATM. I don't stand in front of the face magnet all day. Don't need to.
I applied this concept when I'm trading CL. It's amazing!!
Happy for you!
For those that want to join a live broadcast, I ask that you review how to spot Fair Price and how to execute the “Sqd, Cap, IB, Price” checklist that I published in the 29 Jan Pre Market look. It would help for the progress of the live event if you at least understand what I am talking about even if you dont know how to use it yet
Traders, all you are doing is procedurally identifying fair price, and then observing when price gets too far from value (premium) or (discount). Then, also procedurally, you are observing if the large transactors see the same thing and are acting upon it. This is all about consistency and disciplined application of a repeated procedure in order to drive a positive p/l in your business model. You are buying inventory in discount, in alignment with when you see larger money doing the same thing. Conversely, you sell in premium when you observe institutional money flow selling back to fair value. All of you. 100%. Everyone needs to be able to spot fair price with the naked eye. There is no substitute for reading the numbers. The numbers are just organizations from the time and sales, which is how I was taught- what you see me doing is years and years of plotting lines and transactional data on a sheet. This is called “tape reading” by most, and there is no better way to trade. There is also no defense by an institutional trader to take your money because you are trading in alignment with the monetary flow of the market. Thats why this technique is so successful. It is the hardest to learn. It takes mentorship, practice, discipline, a continual search for more information, and a self-awareness that I never thought I would have. Thank you to those that are among the very very very few that see the validity of this technique. Anything else is substandard. TraderFred
Beautiful explanation
Traders, if I do a live market broadcast would some of you be willing to join? I wont do it if there is no follow on interest
I''d be glad to join ... count me in.
Would love to join and understand how to identify wholesale on the tape within the greater context of current market conditions.
Count me in Fred
Premarket analysis daily like this when you can would be truly awesome!
👌
Thanks Fred. Really appreciate your lessons!
Thanks Fred!
and do this all day long? 😆thats crazy
10/10
Thanks Fred!
My next video will be Chapter 3 of the exploitation techniques that I am showing you. We will be spotting the Trap on the DOM and turning off all unneccesary chart information. Thank you to the very few traders (out of millions) that are seeking how to do this professionally. This is literally my life's work. This is my contribution to the retail trading universe. It has taken me 35+ years to trade like this and I am trying to help someone (hopefully more than just 1) with how to short cut to success and learn how to actually trade smartly.
I always used to imagine that a top trader would never share his ways because it doesn't makes sense to share an edge etc.
Great video. I realized my problem is impatience and not waiting enough for confirmation
These are amazing footprint videos. Definitely would like to see how you set up your DOM settings. Thanks!
Traders, spend some uninterrupted time and watch Wade at Trade ATS explain this in his own way. ruclips.net/video/McX-aGoUDCU/видео.htmlsi=056jb2qSxjZ96lfn
Hey Fred. You mention something about a mentorship.. are you offering some kind of mentorship program?
@steven6358 I have talked to many traders over time and shared things I’ve learned (and learned from them) in this business. So yes, I do remain open to sharing knowledge about the business of the market.
@ awesome what’s a good way to get in touch? I’d love to talk about how you see the market and ask some questions.
@@steven6358send me a text at (702) 379-4538
Thank you for sharing Fred!
Thank you Fred!
This book should be one of your go-to textboook reference manuals. I use a pencil/highlighter to take notes directly in mine. www.amazon.com/Trading-Order-Flow-Understanding-Information/dp/B0BMJMFCKN
Cool, I'm going to check out this book. I've been messing around with order flow for a bit but I need a reference book! Thanks
Too bad no Kindle edition. Oh, well... Good video, Fred!
I use sierra charts what is your setup?
I see volume profile and I believe you mentioned your using 10000 volume bars but what else is there
@@aaronburns3511 you can use any frame of reference you choose. The market is fractal, so the techniques will show up on any product in any market on any time or volume reference. I just choose 10,000 because its easy to head-calculate percentages and screen count multiple bars together (e.g.6 bars in range = 60,000 contracts)
2min in and this video is already banger!
Small question. Are you only looking for capping in the pullback bar, or is it also valid on an actual bar?
Hey @Stephan sorry to bother, but I assume pullback bar is only available in sierra chart? and not in jigsaw? (sorry am new to this stuff)
@@Lazy-d4b seems my last comment got deleted because i referred to a website, i was saying i'm using ninjatrader and some set of indicators from a russian guy arprof but it loads a plethora of unnecessary stuff (along with a pullback bar) I'm working on a pullback bar indicator which I will release for free soon on the ninjatrader website and nexusfi
You can look for it in any bar. The pullback is just the most recent transactions since the last high or low of the developing bar. You can even look for it in the center-column DOM transactions (which is the source data for the Footprint)
@ I believe it's a bit hard to look at the entry model for a product like NQ since its too fast... I believe just looking at FP would help a lot.
@@Lazy-d4b You can totally do it on NQ, but you have to be like NBA pro-basketball fast. The guy that taught me was a sell-side insitutional trader at UBS and he showed me on both the /CL and the /ES. All traded products behave the same, but the presentations are infinitely variable. It takes alot of screen time and practice practice practice.
This is gold!
Traders, this is the point and figure chart that I manage retirement accounts with. This is how I swing trade and manage larger account sizes. Tom Dorsey is a senior mentor to my institutional mentor. This type of charting has been used since the late 1800's and all through the 1900's into today. This is the first type of charting technique that I saw my dad use back in the 1970's on Silver Futures. You can learn more about Point and Figure charting techniques here: www.amazon.com/Point-Figure-Charting-Application-Forecasting/dp/0470043512?source=ps-sl-shoppingads-lpcontext&ref_=fplfs&psc=1&smid=A2A9S52B2VIKU6&gQT=2
awesome thank you Fred
YW.
Traders, please watch this short video on youtube regarding the function of an auction. ruclips.net/video/2GNuGkANJPQ/видео.html&ab_channel=NOFTTraders
You can use this technique on any timescale (or as I do, a volume scale). Swing trading and day trading are the same thing when it comes to numbers, except that in swing trading your timeframe for analysis, entry, and targets is slower. Everyone solves the Rubiks Cube of the market in their own manner, but this technique (once mastered) has no other even close. It is all about risk management and volume analysis. Good luck traders. Stick to your procedures and do not guess. Indicators don’t mean anything as indicators are just an “indicator of past performance”. Even a colored candlestick is just an indicator. I learned to trade like this with the candles off (not displayed) and zero indicators. This is a trading Master-Class level technique that you are free to learn from and use. Most of RUclips free-space is filled with garbage. Dumb headlines, and flashy stuff that is trying to get you to click the next “omg” moment. Turn off all that garbage-in fact, try going on a media-fast for a week or two, or permanently. You will start to see the mesmerizing effect that news media has on people (including yourself), and when you turn off the noise, you can start to see factually true and verified information, like in the numbers bars Order Flow Sequencing Factor (OFSF is a terminology from my institutional mentor). TraderFred