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The Ponzi Factor
Добавлен 28 июл 2016
The Ponzi Factor is the most comprehensive research ever compiled on the negative-sum nature of capital gains (non-dividend stocks). The book is not a perspective or an opinion. It is a proof that is based on definition, logic, and it is supported by observable facts and history.
The simple truth is profits from buying and selling stocks come from other investors who are buying and selling stocks. When someone buys low and sells high, another sucker is also buying high and needs to sell for even higher. Companies like Google, Amazon, and Tesla never pay their shareholders. Their investors profits are dependent on the inflow of money from new investors, which by definition, is how a Ponzi scheme works.
The simple truth is profits from buying and selling stocks come from other investors who are buying and selling stocks. When someone buys low and sells high, another sucker is also buying high and needs to sell for even higher. Companies like Google, Amazon, and Tesla never pay their shareholders. Their investors profits are dependent on the inflow of money from new investors, which by definition, is how a Ponzi scheme works.
Tesla Stock Dividend is just a stock split
Tesla's stock dividend is just a stock split with the word "dividend" to make it sound nicer than price manipulation.
FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020
Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio
Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor
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FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020
Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio
Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor
Get Dropbox: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
Просмотров: 943
Видео
AMZN 52 week low, Dot-Com crash?
Просмотров 1,6 тыс.2 года назад
A quick thought on the Ponzi Market dips. Note that I said non-dividend stocks don't have logical price support. Dividend stocks do because there's a future cashflow from the company. Will explain in another video. FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor Get Dropbox: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
History of Tesla Ponzi Pops
Просмотров 2,4 тыс.3 года назад
An overview of the history of Tesla's Ponzi pops, and my positions going into earnings tomorrow. FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor Get Dropbox: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
Amazon Stock Split?
Просмотров 1,5 тыс.3 года назад
Doing something a little different for this one. Here's my analysis on when Ponzi asset AMZN (Amazon) might split their stock based on the Google scenario in the book. Originally posted on Tiktok on 10/14/21: vm.tiktok.com/ZM8jtwy29/ FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor Get Dropbox: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
Stock are not backed by the company. Simple Logic
Просмотров 3,4 тыс.3 года назад
From the book: "The value of a stock is a cerebral idea...The value is not backed by anyone, which is why investors don’t know how much their stocks are backed by or when they will see that money. But what we do know is that if someone buys a share of Google for $1,100 and it drops to $900, Google will not make up that $200 difference and Google has no obligations to pay that person anything cl...
Special Kind of Stupid to Think Stocks are Ownership
Просмотров 3,1 тыс.3 года назад
I've been debating since 2018, and the finance junkies are so predictable that it's just getting stupid. FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor Get Dropbox: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
Taxing Unrealized Values Can Destroy Billionaires
Просмотров 1,3 тыс.3 года назад
No joke. This can actually destroy people like Bezos and Buffett. If the proposed taxes on unrealized gains goes through in the way it sounds, Ponzi asset holders like the Google boys, Musk, Bezos, etc. will have to pay taxes on billions of imaginary value, which they can’t realize, and be forced to pay taxes with billions of dollars of real money, which they do not have. Note on the last comme...
Stock Market. Ponzi Scheme. Fully explained. (No Music)
Просмотров 13 тыс.3 года назад
NOTE: Stock buybacks are NOT returns/dividends because the firms just print shares after the buyback (dilution). Buyback video: ruclips.net/video/-XscM2GrKFU/видео.html The Ponzi Factor is the most comprehensive research ever compiled on the negative-sum nature of capital gains-the money people make from buying and selling stocks. Unlike other finance books, this book does not assume stocks are...
Vlog: The Ponzi Factor book update (Oct 2020)
Просмотров 3,5 тыс.4 года назад
Apologies for the long absence. It has been an interesting year for all of us. I got distracted by politics for a while, but I'm back. I updated the book with a preface and "postface" (not epilogue). The (final) Oct 2020 version will be available for sale next week still doing some final checks. But you can download the current October 2020 version right now: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 (The Ponz...
The Stock Market is a Ponzi Scheme. Fully explained.
Просмотров 104 тыс.4 года назад
The version without no music is here: ruclips.net/video/Az1dpnC4AxA/видео.html FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 NOTE: Stock buybacks are NOT returns/dividends because the firms just print shares after the buyback (dilution). Buyback video: ruclips.net/video/-XscM2GrKFU/видео.html The Ponzi Factor is the most comprehensive research ever compiled on the negative-sum nature of capital gain...
NYE Reflection on 2019 and ahead in 2020
Просмотров 3044 года назад
The Ponzi Factor is a non-profit enterprise. Buy the book on Amazon/Audible to support it or download the book for FREE if you can't afford it. Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor FREE PDF Book: bit.ly/ThePonziFactor2020 Get Dropbox and support TPF: bit.ly/Dropbox_TPF
Stock Buyback Scams
Просмотров 7 тыс.4 года назад
This is an additional section that was added to Chapter 6 in the September 2019 update for the book. It elucidates facts about stock buybacks. 1. Most buyback numbers are based on announcements not transactions. 2. The numbers don’t include "dilution" the additional shares sold to investors before or after the buyback. 3. I investigated 1,274 firms that engaged in buybacks between 2009 - 2016 a...
Tesla Amazon and others Ten years after IPO
Просмотров 2 тыс.5 лет назад
In the process of updating the website. The data for this and other research will be available at the book's website on September 6th, 2019. The updated book is now available on Amazon. The main update is a section about buybacks and dilution. This research will also be available on the book's website on Sept 6th. "I will be ruthless and I will be relentless, and I will finish with my shield or...
Debating Finance Junkies | Ponzi Factor | V-Log 6
Просмотров 4,7 тыс.5 лет назад
A comprehensive outline of pretty much every possible argument the finance junkies will use to defend the stock market. Thank you all for your support this year! Looking forward to another great year in 2019! The Ponzi Factor is a non-profit enterprise. Buy the book on Amazon/Audible to support it or download the book for FREE if you can't afford it. Audible: bit.ly/ThePonziFactorAudio Amazon: ...
S&P 500 short. A present for the holidays
Просмотров 6645 лет назад
Full video is on V-Log 5 Fact: No one knows what the real returns to stocks have been over the past century. Fact: The returns to S&P 500 that are typically quoted has a survivorship bias. The hundreds of companies that dropped out of the S&P 500 list over the years are simply ignored in the returns projection. The Ponzi Factor is a non-profit enterprise. Buy the book on Amazon/Audible to suppo...
S&P 500 Joke | Ponzi Factor | V-Log 5 (Thesis Part 1)
Просмотров 1,5 тыс.6 лет назад
S&P 500 Joke | Ponzi Factor | V-Log 5 (Thesis Part 1)
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 4 | Tesla SEC Settlement
Просмотров 7426 лет назад
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 4 | Tesla SEC Settlement
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 3 | Tesla $420 scam
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.6 лет назад
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 3 | Tesla $420 scam
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 2 | Apple $1 Trillion Joke
Просмотров 2,8 тыс.6 лет назад
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 2 | Apple $1 Trillion Joke
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 1 | Tesla and Market Crash
Просмотров 2,2 тыс.6 лет назад
Ponzi Factor | V-Log 1 | Tesla and Market Crash
Ponzi Factor radio interview with Loiue B Free
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.6 лет назад
Ponzi Factor radio interview with Loiue B Free
The Ponzi Factor: Proof by Definition
Просмотров 3,4 тыс.6 лет назад
The Ponzi Factor: Proof by Definition
The Ponzi Factor: Trailer Part 2 (Unfinished)
Просмотров 1,4 тыс.6 лет назад
The Ponzi Factor: Trailer Part 2 (Unfinished)
Rent inflation, San Francisco affordable housing crises
Просмотров 3 тыс.6 лет назад
Rent inflation, San Francisco affordable housing crises
The Ponzi Factor | Stocks are NOT Ownership Instruments
Просмотров 4,9 тыс.6 лет назад
The Ponzi Factor | Stocks are NOT Ownership Instruments
The Ponzi Factor | More than half of Madoff's accounts were WINNERS!
Просмотров 2,6 тыс.6 лет назад
The Ponzi Factor | More than half of Madoff's accounts were WINNERS!
You make some very good points. Yet since you uploaded this video the MSCI World Index made a total return of 94,52%, so almost doubled in value. So i am going to stay invested in the stock market.
bs, the stock market is a business and anyone who is investing in the stock market should know that to buy a stock another investor or institute needs to sell the stock. investing in a stock means that you think that stock has future potential or is 'undervalued', so technically everyone is investing with a hypothetical mindset- that is why it is not a ponzi scheme because it is meant to be hypothetical There are many reasons why a stock might move up or down, theres tons of things that are happening not just with investors buying and selling but with options, insider, and selling puts calls deltas gamma squeezes ecetera. and if I am being honest some people make money while some lose money, but different buyers and sellers have different ideas so just adding all the sums isn't accurate. I'm more surprised how many people don't know these basic facts in this youtube video and think this is some dark web information, every single investor should know how markets move atleast!
This might be the best video on RUclips
It’s a sliding scale. Bernie Madoff is 100% Ponzi because there is no underlying asset all! Bitcoin and gold has very low intrinsic value of the underlying asset compared to price. Tesla a bit better but also low intrinsic value. Now think of a company with a 10x price multiple. Not really Ponzi. The asset here is clear, profits. Yes you don’t get voting rights or the profits but it has value and liquidity which is regulated by the market operator. So you can buy and sell any time. Furthermore companies are required to produce cashflow statements which you can analyse to determine if the reinvest their profits well. If they can’t then yes they should issue a dividend otherwise you should avoid this stock due to its low intrinsic value.
what is this annoying background music about? I wanted to like your video and subscribe your channel but now I wouldn't
Stupid take
There are so many fallacies and half truths in this short it is hilarious Just because a merket is larger than the total fiat currency in circulation does not mean it is a Ponzi scheme. By the same logic the average home in the US could not be worth more than $10000, since there are 145 million of them and only $1-$2 T of money in circulation.
Putting that aside, market manipulation to help profit the real shareholders while investing heavily on marketing that you can do It, they make up numbers on the board without a backend to check why so to trick the small investors to be feeding them the reap value which is money
An additional aspect to me is the fact that people are investing directly or indirectly to support some of the most pernicious companies in the world like war companies (lookheed martin…), big pharma, banking cartel… etc. Just because is cute and “financially responsible” to invest in your retirement.. you are a part of the whole mess this society is.
This video appeals to the type of people who believes the government expands the money supply by actually and literally printing more paper currency.
Ive been saying this all my life.
What about house prices? Only a small fraction of houses are bought and sold at any one time. If every house in the country was for sale house prices would also fall. I think the same principle applies to stocks. The true value of something is what people are prepared to pay at any given time.
Who said that companies don’t pay dividends to shareholders anymore? This is simply untrue 😅
Owning a share means you own a small percentage of a company, which is why it’s more complex than it seems. When a company is successful, many people want to own a part of it. If the stock price drops, it’s like the company is on “sale.” But if the stock ever hits zero, it’s as if the company is being given away to anyone who wants to own it-though this won’t happen as long as the company is doing well. In a way, it's like an auction where the highest bidder wins the right to own more of the company. The value of a single share might be tiny, like owning 0.000000001% of the company. It only becomes valuable when you own many shares. Since so many people want to own the company, and you need more shares to have a significant stake, the overall value of the shares increases.
Yes. The fact that the people are called investors and not gamblers is crazy. The stock purchase does not lead to any investment into the company and vice versa. Except during IPOs. I try to explain this to people but it's a very hard thing to explain. Great video.
Explain how purchasing a stock is not an investment?
@@j0sh145 because it does not lead to any proceeds to the underlying company to help them build something and its value totally depends on next "investor" to buy at higher price from current "investor". And the underlying company if it goes bust pays shareholders last, that too small percentage of the stock value.
@@np2819if you’re concerns are liquidity and how quick you are able to sell those shares I promise you there is not an issue in this day and age with modern day investing. In broad based index funds, large, mid and even small cap stocks, you can place a sell order, have it received, and have it filled in a matter of seconds. And in terms of receiving “value” in a company what are exactly referring to? Dividends and capital gains are both ways to recieve value from a company. We can go deeper into that as well.
@@np2819do you hold any type of retirement account?
Great stuff! 👍
Everything is a Ponzi/pyramid scheme. We're a hierarchical species so by definition everything we do is a pyramid scheme. People just get all butt hurt when it's obvious and labeled as such. Map out the structure of the company you work for...what shape would you define it as LoL. Why do you think Madoff didn't give a ****. I made a pyramid scheme off of a pyramid scheme...yeah sure whatever send me to jail. I'll be the token bad guy so business can continue as usual.
Tesla makes a lot of money now.
Thanks! Nice book. Great thoughts on the fake system we live in.
I would love to debate with you. Your claims are preposterous and dangerous.
Thank you. So what are your thoughts knowledge about 401k and Roth IRA? I am older and do not know much but I started Robinhood brokerage acct and used $1k to buy several itty bits of stocks then zi thought often… what I am buying ex ndvia share @$110… goes up goes down… but it’s is in fact not money it feels like gambling chips
I figured this out by being in crypto first. It’s very similar.
This is why you buy Bitcoin. It can be manipulated but never controlled. And there is a finite supply of 21 million.
There is NOTHING behind the price movements of bitcoin. They don’t have earnings or margins or fundamentals like a stock does. Crypto is the real fallacy.
how does someone believe in cryptos but not the stock market? Actual frauds happen in the crypto world
@@minatoreoshino8613exactly what I’m talking saying
Anybody who really understands the stock market will see how baseless this video is. To say the value of a stock is imaginary is absolutely preposterous. Please everybody don’t listen to this video. If you disagree with me let’s have conversation.
Ok, I'll bite. If a stock doesn't pay dividends, then where does its value come from other than other investors willing to pay for it? Isn't a "stock" or a "share" basically just a piece of paper saying you invested a certain amount of $$$ in a company and are entitled to a particular percentage of returns?
@@yearofthedawgs8581 actually no not at all. All dividends are is just profits from the company. There are MANY companies that pay dividends and there are many that choose not too. The ones choose not to pay can commonly be called growth stocks. These types of stocks are primarily focused on returns of the company rather and maximizing shareholder value. So when a growth stock decides to not pay a dividend they are more likely than retaining those earnings to reinvest back into the overall business. So then where does the value come from? The value of stocks has a lot to do with the fundamentals with companies, more specifically their profits, revenues, forward looking statements, profit and operating margins, free cash flow, and others as well. Big jumps in either direction for any of those metrics can have a big impact on the price of a stock. One of the most widely used metrics is what’s called the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E Ratio) This is a ratio of the price of a stock relative to its earnings per share (EPS) So you can then see and analyze how expensive a stock might be among looking at other metrics of course. What I’m explain are pretty summed up explanations and you can look into them a lot more. And to your last point, a share in a company I guess can be looked at as a “piece of paper”. It doesn’t just necessarily say what price you bought it at rather the actual value of 1 share of a company. The only thing you would be “entitled” to when it comes to returns is if the company pays a dividend and you own the share as it goes ex-dividend. It is up to you as the shareholder to decide when to sell your share weather it be for a profit or a loss. And I just want to say in this day and age, stocks are VERY liquid investments compared to others, you can buy and sell stocks really easy. It literally takes a minute or two MAX to place an order to sell or buy shares.
@@yearofthedawgs8581 on top of that I just want to say that literally most retirement plans, with some exceptions, are tied to the stock market. So if you would like to retire comfortably, weather it be from retirement plans from or investing on your own, you will have to be in the market.
@@j0sh145Imagine being an owner of the business who doesn’t pay you any share of the profits they make most of the companies today have a very low dividend yield when compared to the companies when Mr Warren Buffet started investing Over the years companies have reduced their dividend payments plus all those retained earnings that belong to the shareholders is kept by the company just to be later used by the owner to fund their expensive business vacations or buying private jets in the name of the company I want my investment to put money in my pocket whats the point of seeing your money compounding when you can’t use it for daily expenses 😂😂😂😂
@@autofill5073ok so what you’re referring to are growth stocks. They retain their earnings and instead of paying them in dividends they reinvest them back into the business to generate more gains for shareholders. If income is what you desire then there are specific funds etfs and even a certain compiling of individual stocks that can achieve that for you. It’s still possible so I’m not sure what the issue is. Roughly half the stocks on the nasdaq pay a dividend. You just need to know where to look.
How come this isn't viral!!
wrong. with enough shares you control the company. Then you can do as you wish with profits. This is what gives stocks their value
Common stock doesn't represent company ownership and have no voting rights.
So true. Fk Nvidia & Jensen
The reason that the stock market is often not a Ponzi scheme is because central bankers, particularly the Fed, regularly create money out of nothing which they then dump into the stock market. In fact, you can go to lower Manhattan and see the main place that this happens. It is at the headquarters of the NY Fed.
the beef starts from 3:50..the more ur repeat the lie...the more people will believe it... Remind me plz: who said it?😊
5:55 Fiat currencies are totally not ponzi schemes. Lol. Lmao.
5:55 Fiat currencies are totally not a ponzo scheme. Lol. Lmao.
I remember when my stockes were stolen, the stock went Way Up and I thought I made money. When I checked my account, they stole ALL but one share, IT'S CALLED A REVERSE SPLIT. They steal your shares and leave you one or two, then push the price up dramatically in your face...Just another way to rig the game "legally".
they did not stole your share, neither did they "push the price up dramatically in your face", from the info you gave, as you said, they just reduced the amount of total shares, making the remaining ones worth more. So if there were 20 shares that had a value of 10, if they decided to reduce them to half of that, there would be 10 shares worth 20. So if you owned 2 shares, you'll be left with 1 that is worth the same as the old 2.
Is forex a scam? And what more markets are a scam taking out the stock market.
I work at a traditional 'fundamental analysis' investment firm and if I explained this to anyone I work with I would be fired on the spot.
I think about this idea a lot. But it seem not very well known common sense among general public. This video has only 100k view proves that.
OP is going to lose his shit when he learns about fractional bank and how one person's asset is another person's debt.😅
Does this pertain to the Futures markets? A speculator can buy or sell a standardized contract
The prices of the major indexes goes up because the value of the dollar goes down.
The whole argument is based on tangible money. I have not used that for years. So I am fine having my money in fictional stocks that raise my fictional cash by over 10% a year and let me buy real food. Only companies that have no valid reinvestment pay dividends. And I even prefer stock buybacks. But if they have a good investment, like Google mostly does, I am very fine if they reinvest my share of their gains. It might be though, that the whole system of economic growth is a huge Ponzi scheme, but the stock market would do well even without growth. Stocks would have the same price and just pay some dividend because there is no other option to invest.
Wow. There are so many things wrong about what's said in this video 😅 I don't have the time to address everything - maybe just two things: 1) there are still stocks that pay dividends. It's a decision of the company whether to pay out or reinvest their profits. Typically (and logically) companies that don't pay dividends and reinvest grow faster. 2) where tf did you pick up the idea that the money in circulation must match the value of all assets in a country? That's wrong, even if we disregard the stock market.
I’m done after I get green lol
I trade almost every single day and sadly this is 100% true. The valuation of a Stock is even questionable when it first becomes tradable. Think about it, they are saying you own a share of a company valued at set price. How then does it gain in value, sometimes rapidly? It is a tough game that is designed to steal from those looking to get rich, if you're lucky you can learn how to play like the thieves. I currently am a day trader, and I enjoy it for the most part, but the truth is we are simply exchanging money at the whims of people in the know or who are in control. If you invest make it a dividend stock, if you trade trade like a bank or a big institution. It is the best way to make money. Stocks will have a build up of shares purchased without the price moving much before a big news catalyst drops and magically they run to the moon. This is part of the process, say I know XYZ has been accumulating for a week and I hear they are about to drop positive news I am buying and waiting.
when you said "day trader" I understood what the problem is
While cryptos and some hype stocks behave like Ponzi schemes this is not true of the general stock market. You apparently haven't heard of dividends. And yes many companies don't pay dividends because they're reinvesting their profits so they make bigger profits in the future so they can pay larger dividends in the future instead of small dividends in the present. Also some companies that are in trouble may decide to suspend their dividend for a time.
Music too loud
It is nothing but legalized theft. Many work hard to keep society running. Then you have these lazy criminals, who nothing but steal other people's money through the stock market.
Explain how they steal people’s money through the market. Anybody who really understands the stock market will be able to understand how false this video is.
@@j0sh145 just by looking at the like/dislike ratio, we can easily see the issue
@@minatoreoshino8613what’re you referring to exactly?
@@j0sh145 this video ha almost no dislikes and a good amount of likes, meaning that probably the majority of people that watched it believe in what he says.
@@minatoreoshino8613yeah that’s really concerning
1:49 whether the company loses of gains money is relevant to the stock price. When you list tesla motors as a money burning company that’s stock continues rising. This can be explained by the fact that a companies stock can rise on speculation. An example of this are all of the “crazy” valuations that AI stocks currently have despite posting very little of no profit.
Is the housing market also a bubble. When you say they keep everything you talk like every dollar they make goes to a big pile of cash. They still invest in R&D and other areas required to boost the underlying value of the business which increases the stock.
Who is here in 2024? 😂 only people who know this are the ones making real money in the stock market. As I put it, it is wild wild west.
why would you put money in a so called "ponzi scheme"?
If you invested and you didn't know about any of these facts you deserve to lose all your money
if you invest and believe that it's a ponzi scheme, you should rethink your decisions
@minatoreoshino8613 it's a capitalistic world buddy, so far 320% profits sound good to me
@@fromthelab258 so what difference in your strategy did the knowledge that the stock market is a ponzi scheme make?
@minatoreoshino8613 I'm not constantly trading. I'm investing for the long-term got out 320% profit and 70% portfolio right now
so what do we do then