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Gold Analyst UK
Добавлен 23 июл 2022
A Gold market analyst based in London, UK. The channel will be putting out a lot of analysis that impacts the Gold and Silver markets.
Silver is cheap, but there is a BIG problem
A video explaining why I do not own much silver despite it being a very cheap physical commodity to own. Many seasoned analysts have championed silver for being excellent value, but there is a huge issue that I believe no one thinking about. After watching this video some investors will likely reconsider their strategy with large silver holdings as the return may not meet their expectations for the reason outlined in this economics of investing in silver video
Просмотров: 139
Видео
Gold's Relationship with Interest Rates
Просмотров 77Год назад
A video explaining gold's relationship with interest rates and dispelling some myths that we are often told in the financial media. We show several examples of where conventional market wisdom is challenged and how gold can go up with the us dollar
Why we are seeing so much silver in the market
Просмотров 267Год назад
Why we are seeing so much silver bullion in the market which is driving the premiums in the silver market down. There are 3 reasons why silver is becoming so common and why premiums are much lower than we have seen in several years. The premiums for silver are low, there are a lot of sellers in the market, but why now? This video discusses the current trend in the physical silver market
Analysis - Bullion vs Numismatic Coins - the 1937 Sovereign
Просмотров 201Год назад
Analysis of whether the gold 1937 proof sovereign has outperformed the gold bullion spot price since 2007. I analyse auction prices of pr65 1937 gold sovereigns and see how the percentage change between auctions compares to the percentage change in the gold spot price for the same dates. The findings was not as expected but some important observations was found
The Best Inflation Hedge Gold Coins
Просмотров 505Год назад
This presentation will show the best type of gold coins to hedge against inflation - the theories to why this is the case and how these coins compare to standard bullion gold coins
The 3 Biggest Risks to Gold Investors
Просмотров 760Год назад
Most gold investors see bullion as a one-way sure bet. There are some risks to investing in gold and two of these risks are something that many investors have never considered. This video gives an insight of the risks of holding gold bullion bars and coins as an investment from an experienced gold buyer
3 Recent Trends in the Gold Coin Market
Просмотров 4 тыс.Год назад
A video explaining three recent trends that I have noticed in the gold coin market. One of these represents a short-term opportunity whereas the other two are emerging trends that are likely to continue and even become more obvious as time goes on
What Just Happened With Gold? And Where Will Gold Go Next?
Просмотров 3,6 тыс.Год назад
The gold market saw some high upside volatility this week and broke into a new record against the pound sterling. What caused this move and where will the gold price go next? This analysis discusses some key points which is being overlooked by many investors at the moment and talks about some factors that will drive the gold price in the next year or two
Why I Have Finally Turned Bullish on Silver
Просмотров 918Год назад
I am a gold bullion and coin investor and have never seriously considered holding silver. This video explains why I am seeing things that are changing my mind. A lot of though provoking content and ideas that are shared with fellow precious metal investors whether you are mainly a gold or silver stacker
What is Going on With Gold Sovereign Premiums?
Просмотров 8 тыс.Год назад
A deep dive analysis on why is currently going on with gold sovereign premiums. The presentation looks at several reasons why the premiums are high and some events that caused the market to boom for gold sovereigns. Is the current trend sustainable? What am I doing whilst the premium for the gold sovereign coin is so high?
3 Reasons Why I Will Not Buy the 2022 Memorial Sovereign Coin
Просмотров 4,3 тыс.Год назад
Here are 3 reasons why I will not be buying the 2022 gold memorial sovereign coin. This is a very open and honest analysis on the new memorial sovereign and why it may not be a very good investment for a lot of buyers out there. I discuss some of my past experiences in coin dealing and how these have helped me reach the conclusion that I will not be buying the Royal Mint's latest memorial sover...
What Just Happened to the Egyptian Pound?
Просмотров 118Год назад
The Egyptian pound has been extremely volatile and has recently posted a record loss against the US dollar. What exactly has gone wrong in Egypt and how has this impacted the Egyptian population? A lesson on foreign currency economics and a case study of a lower middle income country going through a crisis
What's Behind the Recent Gold Price Rally?
Просмотров 154Год назад
A video that discusses some complex developments which began in 2022 and are pushing Gold prices higher with new record highs in sight against many currencies. What is behind the recent gold price rally and where is gold prices likely to go from here? I discuss some key details around this issue and provide supporting evidence for my prediction on the gold spot price direction
Gold's Performance Against Housing, Commodities & G10 Currencies
Просмотров 92Год назад
A presentation showing how gold has performed against the average UK house price since 2005, many viewers will be surprised with the analysis! I also show how gold has fared against other commodities such as energy, soft and grains. I show how gold has actually gained against all G10 currencies in 2022 and which currencies lost the most against the gold spot price. I conclude the presentation w...
Showcasing £25,000 of Rare Graded World Gold Coins
Просмотров 2592 года назад
A video showcasing £25,000 of graded world gold coins with some very rare issues from Latin America. Viewers will also see the largest gold circulated coin with a worth of around £3,000. There is also my favourite coin that was limited to a small 16,000 mintage. This presentation will show some beautiful and rare graded gold coins with a current market value of £25,000
The 10 Most Desired Latin American Gold Coins
Просмотров 6502 года назад
The 10 Most Desired Latin American Gold Coins
The Surprising Truth About Gold in Deflation
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.2 года назад
The Surprising Truth About Gold in Deflation
Why The US Cannot Afford High Interest Rates
Просмотров 272 года назад
Why The US Cannot Afford High Interest Rates
Erm gold standard.... This is the definition of pointing out the obvious.
I love how you engage with your audience in the comments section.
thank you, sometimes I miss a comment or two but try to reply
How about the 1980's?
New sub, great information, thanks for sharing 👍
With me it's all about the premium 3 4 5 per cent I want on principle pay more . All this limited bull don't, just a cheap trick to fool the naive .
Your observations, comments & thoughts on this matter were excellent & well reasoned. Thank you.
Just swapped a Charles Coronation sovereign for a 1964 Gillick (Young Head). I am very happy with that.
So, for a complete neophyte, which gold coins would you suggest buying for a long-term safe investment?
Please help me with this question!!!! Should I get a proof 2023 coronation half sovereign from the royal mint for £385, or get a 2023 full sovereign from atkinsons for £400, or get a proof quarter sovereign 2023 from royal mint for £225??? Please help and thanks so much! :)
'Promo SM' 😪
I got 2 of them and they don't look pink and you may want to check the weight in the listings on the royal mint before you get any
Gold was the money in the past. The commodities loss value against money in deflation.
Bang on point. I really don't like that pinky/copper ish colour of the "new" Sovereigns. Actually, those minted around 2000 are still accteptable, they ain't that bad still. But the recent years... no, thank you Royal Mint. The same applies to the Krugerrands - the coins from 70's look really nice. And the recent ones look just bad - red copper ish colour. They don't look like gold coins AT ALL
1937 were King Edward, not George :)
Indeed a very important video - Many thanks!
I think you are spot on. We have seen 2 Massive Silver Spikes, I think in 1980 and 2011 and the spike literally lasted a couple of days and within weeks it was back to its 'normal price'. Personally, I have already split out my Silver stack, the first half is what I'm keeping which are a couple of tubes each of Brits, Maples, Phili's, Krugs, Eagles and Noahs Arks and my collectable 10 and 2oz Queens and Tudor beasts and some Perth Mint stuff. The rest, (excess Brits, Maples etc.) and all the bars and bits and pieces are going and trading them for Gold and maybe a bit of cash to hide under the mattress. Silver for me was good when I started collecting in 2016 , buying most VAT free from Germany but since 2020 its a waste of time and money. If we can get spot Silver at £23 I will be happy to sell. Its amazing all those RUclipsrs saying $100 Silver 24 months ago have gone quiet and only talk about Gold. Silver has been manipulated to death and I doubt will get to £30 before the decades out....buying Silver has been a tough lesson!!
Dealers like it more when you sell one metal for another in the same transaction , not just for dollars .You make a valid point . I was lucky enough to have bought most of my metal in 2015 , so i have wiggle room on price when i go to sell.
Wise words. Unless the silver hoard to offload market can build a larger participant base, it won't be able to grow the per ounce price. There's always industrial use, but we're in an economic contraction phase.
Ergo, just buy the gold you were wanting in the first place.
This is actually quite a good point you know
Thx
Failing confidence in gov't debt/central bank currencies is what drives yields higher. Investors won't buy the debt unless they perceive the yields will compensate them for the risk. That environment is generally positive for gold demand. Only after the yields rise enough that they exceed any perceived risk do we see demand for gold wane. Perhaps this may be "cherry picking" but I remember the rise in rates in the mid 1970's and the correlation with rising gold and silver prices. It took rates in excess of 18% to shake precious metals savers and commodity speculators out of the market and back into bonds. Even though gold and silver prices fell in 1981, rates continued to rise for a few more years. We are in the early stage of increasing yields as some central banks have not yet arrived at the party. I would argue this process will be very bullish for gold in the near term. I see no elected (or potentially elected) officials in the West who will inspire confidence in the system. That weight will have to be fully carried by higher yields.
yes, absolutely correct!
Once they've liquidated their silver, they'll have to move their gold. As for the silver in the market, I agree that the consumer side is releasing stock into the market, but with discretionary spending down, so is industrial demand for silver being supplied into the market by the miners, which subsequently has nowhere to go, causing a glut on that end too. We'll see what this middle east thing does, I hope it doesn't mess with spot, although even if it does you'll be seeing below spot deals coming along.
Great analysis as always
This is really interesting!! I think it could be a good time to buy silver now then
Hi Gold Analyst UK! I love your analysis, very thorough! 😎I just subscribed to your channel!
Sovereigns don’t have CGT and there frictional low value.
Really enjoyed the video and subscribed. Re: Truss, she had the right idea but was outed by the "Bloc" who have put in their Puppet Sunak. We have had the same economic policy for well over 25yrs which has failed abysmally. They are expecting a different outcome from the same tired old fiscal Policy....................... And they blame Truss for the shtf. Couldn't make it up.
Point 3 is really good insight. Thanks
It look like rose gold in colour. Which means its a shade of pink.
Appreciate this is 5 months after the video was released but seen a few of these graded pf70 proof selling at similar or slightly lower than release prices.
I bough both 2022 Memorial Sovereign, the QEII and the KCIII, because the premium was just 1 euro higher than random circulated Sovereign. I'm fine with the pink color, in fact, the more I look at it, the more I like it, very shiny. Overpaying 1 euro in premium is a symbolic price for the possibility of increased collectible interest in these coins. I must say that it's weird the premium gap between Memorial and standard sovereign basically disappeared on my favorite bullion dealer.
Hi Gold Analyst UK! I just subscribed to your channel! 😎Nice video!
Is it because there’s a shortage of Silver, so they need to add more copper than they have in the past?
I do not think it is due to any silver shortages as they only need a tiny amount of silver for each sovereign, I think the Royal Mint are trying to stand out for their rose gold sovereigns. Plus copper is cheaper than silver, I do not know if that is a factor or not
Maybe the volatility of the sovereign is less than the half because there are more buyers/interest in the sovereign than the half. It's the main coin in the sovereign series. The half sovereign maybe is of less interest in comparison and therefore a more `risky` coin compared with the full, hence higher volatility.
I think your theory makes perfect sense, less liquidity in any asset usually means the price can be seen to jump around more, perhaps that is what we are seeing here
I’ve bought some of these sovereigns as it has Charle III on them. I don’t think he will be around long so they will become rare.
The GSR is based on the ratio of two spot values. However, calculating the GSR based on how much it costs to buy an ounce of gold vs the cost of an ounce of silver can be considerably lower OR how much you get selling an ounce of gold vs selling an ounce of silver, yields a higher GSR. Reality has consistently made silver a poorer "investment".
In 1 year, you should do a video about how your advice worked / failed. We all know its tough to predict markets, ive watched a good few youtubers old videos and seen how they got the markets wrong. I think youve given solid advice here.
Fundamentally, it is down to the individual. All I know is I have made more from graded coins than bullion.
graded coins are getting more popular for sure!
I would add I personally do not advocate unallocated ETF or other hybrids of the paper. For me the rule of if you do not hold it you do not own it rings true.
Exactly, there is still third party counterparty risk with paper gold
As a chartered fellow of a major banking institute I concur with the thrust of your argument. A lot of economics is still dominated by Keynesian philosophy. And many economists haven't a clue about money real money that is. I am bullion 45% numismatic graded 45% and semi 10%.
Yes there was very little mention of how money supply impact inflation. I think bullion suits most people for sure
Have to disagree. Fractional reserve banking will ultimately fail. If you are just buying virtual gold, it’s essentially the same system, but a different asset. When the financial system implodes, I want the real McCoy, not a promissory note worth diddly. Just my view.
Yes exactly, unallocated gold still have 3rd party counterparty risk because they can default on their obligation to pay you when you want to cash in
Excellent argument, but that chair you’re sitting in is doing you no favors my good man.
haha feedback is noted sir
Thanks 👍
Who made you an expert talking about Russian coins? The Russian gold roubles are considered "Lamborghinis" of coin minting. Intricate, hard to mint, made by hand design makes these coins super special and quite unique. With mintmaster initials marked on each coin. There is a sufficient and highly trackable history on each mint and/or mintmaster, and therefore, each coin. Although, each coin seems to look the same - they are all different versions and super rare. Collectors, who are worth their salt, have been hunting these coins since the bottom of gold market in 1999/2000. Thoughout this bullmarket "from depeciating paper to valuable things", the Russian coin market has been much more stable than price of gold itself. Having a lower "Beta" than the ungerlined metal of these coins. Have prices of Russian gold/silver coins declined in the past 20 years, - yes, of course. It was a perfect time to accumulate a rare unique asset (coin by coin) from these so called "weak hands". I agree there is a new found demand from the Russian buyers, but this demand find its fundementals in new wave of nationalism and desire for the past Russian greatness when the country actually was a true European Empire.
2003 I bought my £50,000 house it would have cost 240 ounces of gold, 18 years later my Fathers house sold for £120,000 exact same house style, same area, now only needed 80 ounces to buy.
Krugerrand is also somewhat pink and all these coins are bought for the gold value alone.
If the colour is the issue why not just strip the first layer of copper off using heat and pickle?
I for one will never be purchasing gold via Ebay, too many shonks for me! I do use a coin broker who looks after me. We rent a suite from the PO in Australia.
#3. 💯
Gold bars are VAT free but are liable to Capital Gains Tax.
Absolutely, I think this is why sovereigns are gaining in popularity. A bit hard for the government to prove how much people are making from the odd gold bar sale I suppose