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Fractal Manhattan
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Добавлен 23 июл 2018
Does BITCOIN have intrinsic VALUE? (or just rat poison?)
Can we calculate an intrinsic value for Bitcoin? In this video, we explore whether Bitcoin has real value or if it’s driven purely by speculation. Bitcoin remains a controversial topic, with skeptics like Warren Buffett dismissing it as “rat poison squared,” while supporters see it as revolutionary technology and the future of money.
Using Metcalfe’s Law-a mathematical model for valuing networks-we examine how Bitcoin’s price may relate to its growing user base. Does Bitcoin’s intrinsic value come from its decentralized network, user adoption, and utility as digital gold? Or is it speculation, volatility, and hype fueling its price?
We also introduce Zipf’s Law as a refinement to Metcalfe’s...
Using Metcalfe’s Law-a mathematical model for valuing networks-we examine how Bitcoin’s price may relate to its growing user base. Does Bitcoin’s intrinsic value come from its decentralized network, user adoption, and utility as digital gold? Or is it speculation, volatility, and hype fueling its price?
We also introduce Zipf’s Law as a refinement to Metcalfe’s...
Просмотров: 11 859
Видео
The Stock Market is ANNOYING (Must Knows from Complexity Theory)
Просмотров 7 тыс.Месяц назад
Have you ever wondered why the stock market behaves the way it does? Why prices often seem unpredictable and overpriced, or why volatility comes in clusters? In this video, I explore the fascinating world of Complexity Theory and how it explains the hidden patterns behind market price movements. It brings together both chaos and fractal theory into a unified framework. We’ll dive into concepts ...
How Fractals Dictate Risk of a Stock Market Crash
Просмотров 25 тыс.2 месяца назад
Are we at risk of a big Stock Market crash? It turns out that Stock market crashes behave like Fractal Cascades and are much more common than traditional bell-curve models suggest. Volatility increases are the key to understanding this. The market in 2024 has been overpriced by historical PE Ratio measures - but what might happen if it crashes? How do Fractal Cascade explain this? We explore wh...
The Trillion Dollar FLAW in Financial Market Trading
Просмотров 23 тыс.9 месяцев назад
Ever heard of the Black-Scholes-Merton equation? It's the bedrock of options pricing in financial markets, but what if I told you it's hiding a monstrous flaw? 🤯 Dive deep into the world of financial mathematics with me in this eye-opening video where I dissect the "trillion-dollar equation" and reveal its Achilles' heel. Veritasium, known for its captivating science content, recently tackled t...
Why Random Walks and the Efficient Market Hypothesis Fail
Просмотров 10 тыс.11 месяцев назад
Learn about Random Walks and Volatility, and why the Efficient Market Hypothesis is hated by technical analysts who actively trade stocks, because it implies that you can't beat the market. In this video, we are going to show why random walks fail to capture the true nature of stock and other financial markets, due to what is known as volatility clustering (clustered volatility). Some economist...
Does Chaos beat Randomness? - Using the Lorenz Equations
Просмотров 6 тыс.11 месяцев назад
According to Chaos Theory, most systems in the real world should be unpredictable. But if Chaos Theory does make things unpredictable, does that mean that systems which contain chaotic dynamics behave as though they are random? And if not, when is randomness not a good approximation of chaos? In part two of this series, we will dig further into chaos theory, and explore implications for modelli...
Determinism - Can Newtonian Physics Predict the Future?
Просмотров 2,4 тыс.Год назад
Whether you're interested in financial markets, quantitative analysis, or unraveling the mysteries of the universe, in this episode we will ignite your curiosity and broaden your understanding. 🤔 Ever wondered why some phenomena, like the weather, economies, and financial markets, are so challenging to predict? And why do financial markets dramatically shift their behavior, sometimes with very ...
How Chaos can Catch You Out
Просмотров 2,8 тыс.Год назад
Financial advice rarely considers the chaotic nature of markets. But as Benoit Mandelbrot points out with his idea of fractals, the financial industry often woefully miscalculates the level of risk and expected return, particularly in relatively short timeframes, like a decade. Everyone should make the effort to learn how to critically evaluate investment advice. Fractal and Chaos Theories can ...
The Simple Difference between Chaos and Fractals for Financial Markets
Просмотров 8 тыс.Год назад
Did you know that there are critical differences between Chaos and Fractals, and that this difference is the key to properly characterizing financial markets? Even other RUclips videos made by people with expertise on this subject usually mix these things up in their descriptions, and don't explain the differences between fractals and chaos, and what they capture about financial markets. Inspir...
Fractals and Support and Resistance
Просмотров 15 тыс.2 года назад
Support and resistance lines for using with Financial Markets are tricky to set. One of the reasons for this is that financial market data often obeys fractal properties, and the markets themselves behave in a chaotic fashion. Fractals are self-similar (i.e. look similar at multiple scales), and so don't have any "special" scales associated with them. But support and resistance lines inherently...
How to Tell if the Stock Market is Overvalued
Просмотров 2 тыс.2 года назад
One of the nice things about stock markets vs cryptocurrency is that it is possible to estimate when stocks are becoming overvalued and overpriced. Will the stock market crash or undergo a correction? Here we look at four methods for understanding whether or not the stock market is overvalued. In this series of videos, we use the concepts from the mathematical theory of fractals and other ideas...
Fractals and the Hidden Hierarchy in Stock prices, Forex, and other Markets - Fractals and Finance
Просмотров 34 тыс.2 года назад
Fractals are powerful tools for understanding forex, stock market, and other financial market strategy. Some technical analysis experts say they use "fractals" in their analysis of financial markets like forex, but this type of "fractal" has virtually nothing to do with what fractals really are (by which I mean the mathematical theory from which the term "fractal" comes from). And the real frac...
How Chaos Theory affects the Stock Market, and explains unpredictability
Просмотров 34 тыс.2 года назад
Do you know how chaos theory is relevant to financial and stock market analysis? Some technical analysis experts refer to using chaos in their analysis of stock and financial markets. But these commentators usually are not using actual chaos theory to provide meaning to financial market behavior. Chaos theory is a mathematical theory which explains how some kinds of systems behave in unpredicta...
Is Investing in Cryptocurrency a Good Idea? If You Need to Ask, Then Probably No
Просмотров 7952 года назад
How do we avoid acting out of stupidity with investments like bitcoin and cryptocurrency? Is investing in cryptocurrency a good idea? And who is most at risk? Robert Greene has some great ideas as cryptocurrencies fall, and volatility continues. Do you really know what you are doing? I found it interesting that the few people I know who have actually invested in bitcoin (or other cryptocurrenci...
Why Fractals and Finance?
Просмотров 9 тыс.6 лет назад
Why is it that we often hear about fractals in relation to financial markets? Watch and learn about the connection.