- Видео 227
- Просмотров 260 607
Chessability
США
Добавлен 19 мар 2017
Talking Chess and Probability!
Kyler throws a Hail Mary… with his Queen
Thanks for talking chess with me! Rare opportunity here to watch two great NFL players go at it... over the chessboard.
#chess #chessgame #chessanalysis
#chess #chessgame #chessanalysis
Просмотров: 133
Видео
Queen and her Pawn (Yusupov's Immortal)
Просмотров 11810 месяцев назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! Have you ever seen a stronger e3 pawn? This is the lichess analysis board; credit to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "Candidates Match"] [Site "Brussels BEL"] [Date "1991.08.24"] [EventDate "?"] [Round "9"] [Result "0-1"] [White "Vassily Ivanchuk"] [Black "Artur Yusupov"] [ECO "E67"] [WhiteElo "?"] [BlackElo "?"] [PlyCount "78"] 1.c4 e5 2.g3 d6 3.Bg2 ...
The Mona Lisa Game
Просмотров 147Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! These are my favorite types of games: both players with creative attacks on both sides of the board. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) PGN courtesy of chessgames.com [Event "URS-ch sf Kirovabad"] [Site "Kirovabad URS"] [Date "1973.06.??"] [EventDate "?"] [Round "?"] [Result "0-1"] [White "Vladimir Bagirov"] [Black ...
Breaking Through
Просмотров 33Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! A tactical breakthrough leads to a wonderfully coordinated attack. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "Hoogovens"] [Site "Wijk aan Zee NED"] [Date "1985.01.19"] [EventDate "1985.01.18"] [Round "2"] [Result "0-1"] [White "Alexander Beliavsky"] [Black "John Nunn"] [ECO "E81"] [WhiteElo "?"] [BlackElo "?"] [PlyC...
Morphy the Minimalist
Просмотров 145Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! Morphy definitely doesn't care about pawns (except when he does). This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "Paris"] [Site "Paris FRA"] [Date "1859.03.31"] [EventDate "?"] [Round "?"] [Result "1-0"] [White "Paul Morphy"] [Black "Schrufer"] [ECO "C56"] [WhiteElo "?"] [BlackElo "?"] [PlyCount "47"] 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3...
A Most Saucy Game
Просмотров 63Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! I really enjoyed this attacking combination. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "GMA Baleares op"] [Site "Palma de Mallorca ESP"] [Date "1989.12.09"] [EventDate "?"] [Round "4"] [Result "1-0"] [White "Viktor Kupreichik"] [Black "Jaime Sunye Neto"] [ECO "B28"] [WhiteElo "?"] [BlackElo "?"] [PlyCount "45"] 1.e4...
The Last Game
Просмотров 90Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! A stark reality of chess is that all legendary matchups have to have a final game... fortunately, this was an epic curtain call. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "AVRO"] [Site "The Netherlands"] [Date "1938.11.22"] [EventDate "1938.11.06"] [Round "11"] [Result "1-0"] [White "Mikhail Botvinnik"] [Black "Jose...
The Anand-Kramnik Standoff: Another Immortal Draw
Просмотров 158Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! This game felt like a mic drop: two attacks developing wonderfully by both players, and then a draw is agreed to right at the pivotal moment. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "Corus Group A"] [Site "Wijk aan Zee NED"] [Date "2004.01.20"] [EventDate "2004.01.10"] [Round "9"] [Result "1/2-1/2"] [White "Vladim...
The Whirlwind: Nezhmetdinov's Immortal
Просмотров 354Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! Despite never earning the GM title, Rashid Nezhmetdinov is one of the greatest attacking players in the history of chess. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "18th RSFSR-ch"] [Site "Sochi URS"] [Date "1958.06.??"] [EventDate "1958.06.00"] [Round "?"] [Result "0-1"] [White "Lev Polugaevsky"] [Black "Rashid Gibi...
This Is It: World Cup Final (Game 2 of 2)
Просмотров 184Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! Congratulations to Magnus for winning it all - and to Pragg for an incredible performance! This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) #chess #chessanalysis #magnuscarlsen #chessgame 0:00 - 0:20: Intro 0:20 - 3:41: Game Begins 3:41 - 5:06: Outro
This Is It: World Cup Final (Game 1 of 2)
Просмотров 140Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! That's the thing with Magnus: he'll play perfectly, and punish the smallest mistake. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) 0:00 - 0:45: Intro 0:45 - 4:15: Game Begins 4:15 - 8:10: Pragg low on time 8:10 - 8:48: Outro #chess #chessanalysis #magnuscarlsen #chessgame
Magnus' Secret Blunder (in the world championship!)
Просмотров 322Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! I can't help but think - would the path of chess history have been altered if Anand had found the proper response here? This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) #chess #chessgame #chessanalysis 0:00 - 0:17: Intro 0:17 - 3:52: Game begins 3:52 - 5:47: Magnus blunders 5:47 - 8:07: ANAND blunders!!! 8:07 - 8:34: Outro
Rubenstein's Immortal (Have you seen a better bishop pair?)
Просмотров 55Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! The symmetry of this game was beautiful, until it broke and the pieces fell into a devastating attack for Rubinstein. This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) #chess #chessanalysis #chessgame 0:00 - 0:18: Intro 0:18 - 1:55: Game Begins 1:55 - 9:53: Symmetry is broken & Rubinstein attacks! 9:53 - 10:27: Outro
All My Pawns Are Dead (Ballard's No-Pawn Game)
Просмотров 97Год назад
Thanks for talking chess with me! What a fun game, and from nearly 150 years ago! This is the lichess analysis board; thanks to @agadmator for the format inspo :) [Event "Odds Game"] [Site "?"] [Date "1884.??.??"] [EventDate "?"] [Round "?"] [Result "1-0"] [White "William Robert Ballard"] [Black "Joseph George Fagan"] [ECO "000"] [WhiteElo "?"] [BlackElo "?"] [PlyCount "59"] [SetUp "1"] [FEN "r...
Martin's Revenge: Checkmate in THREE MOVES
Просмотров 474Год назад
Martin's Revenge: Checkmate in THREE MOVES
Hikaru's Greatest Game (A Legendary Zwischenzug)
Просмотров 124Год назад
Hikaru's Greatest Game (A Legendary Zwischenzug)
The Eternal Rook: Steinitz Finds Glory in Hastings
Просмотров 29Год назад
The Eternal Rook: Steinitz Finds Glory in Hastings
Is Nepo the Next Giant to Fall? (Game 2 of 2)
Просмотров 38Год назад
Is Nepo the Next Giant to Fall? (Game 2 of 2)
Is Nepo the next Giant to Fall? (Game 1 of 2)
Просмотров 113Год назад
Is Nepo the next Giant to Fall? (Game 1 of 2)
We've got a SHOCKER from the Chess World Cup (Game 2 of 2)
Просмотров 191Год назад
We've got a SHOCKER from the Chess World Cup (Game 2 of 2)
We've got a SHOCKER from the Chess World Cup (Game 1 of 2)
Просмотров 335Год назад
We've got a SHOCKER from the Chess World Cup (Game 1 of 2)
Bobby Snatches Victory from the Jaws of Defeat
Просмотров 279Год назад
Bobby Snatches Victory from the Jaws of Defeat
Morphy Wins the 1st American Chess Congress
Просмотров 52Год назад
Morphy Wins the 1st American Chess Congress
Magnus goes undercover to destroy another GM
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.Год назад
Magnus goes undercover to destroy another GM
thanks!
please what books are using?
this is so tough :(
Your bookdown book is outstanding - thank you very much for making these resources public!
So glad it's been useful :)
7:08 Bc7??
Thanks for the explanation!
this explanation was so clear and helped me understand this so much better thanks so much
I am trying to run this code in my R-studio but I get a really different outcome than yours even if i try the same steps. Where can i find this R-code script?
This is one of the most brilliant games out there! So was Gufeld title this himelf as the mona lisa of chess?
stunning game wow
Idk, somehow this messes with me. Two things: I cant understand why it makes no difference. I see it this way: If I go second, there is a chance that the first guy already lost, meaning I win. If I go first however that chance does not exist. Furthermore, second is better in the sense that if it does go to shot 5 and the other guy survives it, you know that the bullet is in the sixth chamber so naturally you dont have to pull the trigger if that makes sense.
very nice - Borat
very nice - borat
I think there might be a mistake - shouldnt the sum be from x=0 to infinity not s=0 infinity? Sure looks like that judging from the working
Yeah, saw that too
"Very nice" - Borat
Great video, this way so helpful and explained really clearly. Thank you!
Liked the first 9 minutes. I hope I like the entire playlist
Can we equate sample harmonic mean with 1/E(1/X) in this method?
why is the probability p/q and not 1 for the case of p<q?
PLEASE COME BACK AND DO A STOCHASTIC SERIES :(
How do we get the weights when there are more than two stocks?
great video, thanks so much
Thank you for watching!
Stumbled onto this, and it really clarified things -- thank you, Professor. To anyone looking upon: what really helped things click was working out how a random walk works, then watching this. Much love.
So glad it was helpful! I'm not quite a Professor :)
Solving the equation is not clear to me because only if p>q then you can take (p-q) out of |p-q| right? But you just did it and then made two cases.
I have no problems plugging in the numbers. But why are we still considering X's probability density function if we're looking at X^2? That's the big question for me. The probability function X^2 is different from that of X, still we can manage to use that from X only, I can't wrap my head around it nor I can understand its geometrical intuition.
I'm now in a similar state as you were. Have you figured out ?
Thank you for posting an excellent video. I learned so much!!! I'm trying to come up with a return of my portfolio that has several mutual funds. At least one of them doesn't have all the data (e.g., it starts on 2020-01-02 whereas the others start on 2007-01-03). As a result, I can't combine the returns. Do you've a suggestion for how to solve this issue?
Thanks for watching! Yes, there are a few options... you could 'backfill' the data from 2007 - 2020 for that mutual fund by sampling the 2020-2024 data over and over. This gives you a sense of what the returns 'would have been' But I don't think I would recommend that, especially because 2020/2021 had pretty extreme performance, and so the backfill might be skewed. Instead, I would just recommend assigning a weight of 0 to that mutual fund from 2007-2020, and then increasing the weight once the mutual fund 'comes online'. That's the most realistic way: you had zero weight in the fund beforehand! Does that make sense?
@@chessability. Thanks for getting back to me. Yes, your suggestion makes a lot of sense. I'm somewhat familiar with R but don't know to elegantly add 0 weigh for 2007-2020. I appreciate your help.
@@bahramshahrooz4213 For sure! If your weight vector is called w, and you want to set the first 100 elements to 0, just try w[1:100] <- 0
@@chessability. Thanks for your help. I've learned so much in the last 24 hours by watching your video and getting your responses. I really appreciate it.
@@bahramshahrooz4213 Of course! Let me know if I can help with anything else!
Thank you so much
Thanks for watching Juho!
you sir, have saved my degree. you explain things so simply and i appreciate you so so much :) <3
So glad it's been helpful!
thanks
Having run a Russian Roulette spreadsheet simulation 100,000 times I can say that it is better to go second. Person 1 dies on average 51.7% of the time compared to person 2 who dies 48.3% of the time... Your symmetry scenario does not accurately reflect the underlying probabilities..
Always happy to see a king's indian in top level play!
For sure!
I am a Student at Stevens doing my Msc in Fin Eng, this is a great video, thank you. I love the fact that you kept the concept at the forefront and used the maths as a supplement
Thank you! Appreciate you watching!
Very useful!
So glad it was helpful!
I was searching for the lotus Equation and how it happens... I was thinking how it can relate to the real lotus... Does mathematics has to do with our life how we were made... Thanks anyway...
Haha, in this case LoTUS stands for "law of the unthinking statistician", so I don't think it has anything to do with the flower :)
the clicking and highlighting needs to stop haha
Nice video bro Could you recommend a bibliography or some sources to obtain more information about prior and posterior distributions?
Hello! This chapter from my book discusses a lot of it: bookdown.org/probability/inference2/bayesian-inference.html
How do I close that "Kyle throws a hail mary" overlay off? It's the most annoying thing to watch a video and not be able to close it.
I hate this channel has that overlay near the end of the video. Can we move these important videos to a venue that doesn't do this?
Hello. Thank you for your well-explained videos, I would like to contact to you, could you please leave me email. (I want to learn stochastic proccesses from basics and I need online tutor)
What a beautiful immortal. Well presented, too!
Absolutely! Thank you for watching :)
Why pawn h3 is needed?
Haha fair point... it's not! You can play knight to e5 right away :)
What if he takes the knight instead of the queen
Then the queen takes the bishop, and there is a ton of pressure attacking black's kingside!
This is great, perfect combo of complexity and insight
Thanks so much for watching!
When you put O^O in the calculator, it is undefined. In your video, you have 0^0+1. Can you explain what is correct and why please? Also, your videos are a God-send as they are helping me through Stochastic Modeling this semester bro!
Hello! So glad it's useful. Yeah, this is a great question. Some fields of mathematics define 0^0 as 1, some say it's undefined. Some more info here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_to_the_power_of_zero Does that help?
@@chessability. Thanks for your reply and yes, this link explains the question very well!
Hi. I've been following your videos, they are very nicely made. I have a question about your section 7.2.4: Once you're treating the asymmetric case, I don´t see how you arrive at the same formula for log(1+u) and log(1+d) as in the symmetric case. Given that p is not 1/2, your parameter 'sigma' as it appears in their formulae cannot possibly correspond to a variance any longer, since now you have to take weighted averages of the squared variables.
Thank you so much for watching! I think I might be a bit confused... isn't \sigma^2 here just the variance of each \lambda? I'm not sure if it matters that p is no longer 1/2.
aaaha now i get it, thank you
Awesome!
@@chessability. do you have any idea to how to prove rigorously
Hey just wanted to ask something, in the first equation; we assumed that we are already on the first step thus, we added 1 then since we are on the first step reached (1) the probability of going up will be 0. No problem until here, but; you are mentioning that you are at 0 when illustrating that you are going down, but you mentioned that we were at (1) in the other parts of the equation. If we are at one, and if we go down (0) and 1 step for going there and 1 step for going back to (0) to (1) again? Could you please clear that for me? Thank you so much!!
Thanks for watching! Yes, this is a little confusing. We add 1 because we have already taken the first step... but then we have two different cases: if the first step went up (there is zero wait time left, because we just hit 1) or the first step went down (we now have to go up 2 steps to get to 1). Does that help?
You are an awesome person dude! Helped me a lot!
Thanks so much for watching!
Your explanation is so clear and easy to follow. Thank you for your work!
Thank you for watching!
Thank you so much! Your explanation has helped me a lot in understanding the Bayesian approach.
Thanks so much for watching, glad it helped out!