Yield Nerd
Yield Nerd
  • Видео 127
  • Просмотров 16 086
124. A simple trick to get huge Yield 5.92% risk-free in treasuries and celebrate with a $400 fruit
I will check the market to see if it looks a bit, umm frothy with greed. We will look at an actual fruit you can order. It comes in an Origami box and is exquisite. We will then review Starbucks and its latest initiative to increase sales.
Following that, we will look at how you can make almost 6% in US treasuries short-term. Yes - you better believe it! I will review a Schwab "feature" to unearth yields higher than what you initially see. We will do some simple bond arithmetic to get under the covers.
I will then see if such an arbitrage is available in the world of preferred stocks. We will end with a review of my trades for last week.
Let us get started.
00:45 Market Temperature
02:10 Smar...
Просмотров: 1

Видео

123. A Unique and risk-free way to be greedy in the stock market and get away with it
Просмотров 13416 часов назад
We are at exciting times in the market. All time highs are the norm and it is time to get greedy without any downside. I will review the market temperature and then discuss a lesson in greed from a preferred stock. I will then discuss lessons from the gold rush and how I learned to take risk in a smarter way. We will look at the NVDA of Eggs again. We will discuss defensive sectors - food, ener...
122. My six-month defensive portfolio allocation and an interesting pharma value stock pick
Просмотров 14114 дней назад
I have discussed my asset allocation strategy before. It has been thoroughly beaten by equities this year and even in the last month. What does that mean to the next 6 months leading up to the election? I will share my strategy and discuss simple action plans. All of this is based on my thesis for the markets for the next six months. Reasonable people can disagree and I look forward to learning...
121. Devastatingly simple formula to find equity diamonds in the rough - my strategy for equities
Просмотров 10221 день назад
In this episode, we will look at a devastatingly simple formulaic approach to find diamonds in the rough for equity investing. I will first start by reviewing the market and where it is. I salute other stalwarts of investing along the way. I will then review my own portfolio. We will then setup for value investing filters. I will review how I expand the filters and look for adjacent companies. ...
120. Escape inflation and make money doing it - TIPS in Q2 2024 - smart move or not?
Просмотров 14428 дней назад
I will discuss my learnings on the potential for using TIPS as a vehicle to escape inflation. After all, who does not want to earn a steady coupon while also escaping inflation and preserving buying power? We will look at two opposing views. One from a hedge fund owner who says we should run from bond funds. And another from an investment advisor who sells research. I will share my understandin...
119. The absolute best value stock to buy today and a note on preferreds
Просмотров 312Месяц назад
Thanks a lot for your comments. I have created this episode in part to answer two questions asked in comments from the previous episode: a) What are the risks of owning preferred stocks in 5/2024? b) What is the use of having all these filters and how do they work together? I answer them by first diving deep into my philosophy on preferred stocks. I analyze the two I own and why I own them. I t...
118. Incredible Stock - another NVDA in the making. Also, the sky is falling in equities.
Просмотров 245Месяц назад
I share my portfolio composition. I declare that I am now officially hiding under a rock. You will see what I mean by that. I discuss my BATNA - the best alternative to negotiated agreement. I review my view of other asset classes. I then get to the exciting part - I dig deep into my favorite sectors - food and energy. I find a jewel. One that has grown by 68% just this year. This company has s...
117. Storm clouds ahead - Growth Investors be Warned. The Cinderalla Story May not Last.
Просмотров 75Месяц назад
I will celebrate the 2nd value investing success story from my own Magnificent 7 filters. I will then review my portfolio and how it is faring lately with the Dow Jones Index. Then comes my next lunch money pick and a review of my strategy for the upcoming week. 1:00 Value investing win 3:03 Portfolio review 4:40 Best of available bad options 7:40 My next steps #dowjones #equities #investing #v...
116. Total Eclipse of Fundamentals - Smart trades in choppy times
Просмотров 56Месяц назад
Many in North America were entertained by the total Solar eclipse. Some are amazed by the eclipse of fundamentals in valuations today. Include me in one of them. We have 4 parts in this episode: a) We are accepting the higher for longer reality. It creates market turbulence because some thought free money is forever. b) My favorite sectors are those that are ignored in many indices for consumer...
115. The greatest secret to investment returns - asset allocation. Plus an interesting stock pick
Просмотров 1802 месяца назад
Of all the things an investor can do to get good returns, the best is to allocate your assets wisely. I will discuss a few industry expert views on asset allocations. I will share my own, compared to that. Before we even get there, I will compare my research on CalMaine Foods with their earnings transcript. We will then discuss the Magnificent 7 Value stocks. Please remember to do your own rese...
114. Sensible investing in exuberant times - a contrarian look, and lunch-money speculation!
Просмотров 1232 месяца назад
The markets are on a roll. Amazing progress on inflation. It has been tamed and we are going from strength-to-strength. Equity investing has never been easier. Everyone is smart if you parked your money in an index and looked the other way. Not taking risk is for losers. I share my views of the market, the latest FOMC meeting, Chairman Powell's comments, what the big banks are doing and my imme...
113. My Major turn-around in fixed income investing and a bottom-fishing equity approach
Просмотров 912 месяца назад
I am beginning to rejigger my fixed income allocations in anticipation of the upcoming interest rate cuts in the next 3-6 months. I will explain more. I am also playing with a small allocation to equity by defining what I could consider the "Unloved few" equities using a specific screener and then using them to inform my equity investing approach. #fixedincome #jeromepowell #equity #investing #...
112. Once-in-a-decade investment opportunity - corporate bonds via the wall of debt. Learn more.
Просмотров 2042 месяца назад
I am so excited about this episode. Many reputable independent sources talk about this incredible event happening in 2024. The "Corporate wall of debt". Huge amounts of record-setting investment-grade debt coming to the market, presenting a great opportunity for fixed income investors like you and I. January set an all time record, only to be beat by February. February is about to be beaten by ...
111. T-bill and Chill is a blunder - do this instead - is what I was challenged with. Rethink?
Просмотров 1073 месяца назад
I have been espousing my philosophy of t-bill and chill for a while now. All while the market has been roaring ahead. I got two major shocks to the system and challenges from viewers. One of them showed a very good reason why they should invest in SGOV - ultra-short t-bill fund. The arguments are compelling. Have I been wasting my time all along? I investigate further. The other one is an indus...
110. Critical learnings for the Tax Season - Major Moments & a key 60-day strategy.
Просмотров 753 месяца назад
Welcome to tax season. I will introduce you to my new friend - TaxNerd. I will share lessons I learned when I analyzed my tax filings for 2023. I saw Accrued Market Discount, Amortized Bond Premium and more. I will deep dive into discount bonds and premium bonds and share my lessons. Remember to do your own research. I will explain the tax effects when your t-bill or a note matures - assuming y...
109. What could go wrong with a bull run? Let me join the bull shark run... or should I?
Просмотров 563 месяца назад
109. What could go wrong with a bull run? Let me join the bull shark run... or should I?
108. The market glitters, but is it gold? My reaction to the amazing market run and the AI craze.
Просмотров 743 месяца назад
108. The market glitters, but is it gold? My reaction to the amazing market run and the AI craze.
107. Is value investing dead in Q1 2024? Smart Strategies for the next 60 days
Просмотров 603 месяца назад
107. Is value investing dead in Q1 2024? Smart Strategies for the next 60 days
106. Yield Superbowl and a huge surprise from agency bonds, introducing growth nerd & more
Просмотров 1104 месяца назад
106. Yield Superbowl and a huge surprise from agency bonds, introducing growth nerd & more
105. Make huge returns blindfolded - It is a soft landing in Q1 2024 and nothing can go wrong (?)
Просмотров 614 месяца назад
105. Make huge returns blindfolded - It is a soft landing in Q1 2024 and nothing can go wrong (?)
104. Three fat cats and a herd of starvin Marvins - the imbalance in equities today
Просмотров 1654 месяца назад
104. Three fat cats and a herd of starvin Marvins - the imbalance in equities today
103. Be fearful when others are greedy - Q1 2024 next steps for fixed income investing
Просмотров 1404 месяца назад
103. Be fearful when others are greedy - Q1 2024 next steps for fixed income investing
102. Four Strategies for Q1 2024 - balancing equities and fixed income
Просмотров 2025 месяцев назад
102. Four Strategies for Q1 2024 - balancing equities and fixed income
101. Dramatic change is in the air - a soft landing! Wow - let us not miss the big rally. Hold it...
Просмотров 1625 месяцев назад
101. Dramatic change is in the air - a soft landing! Wow - let us not miss the big rally. Hold it...
100. The 2024 Economy Game - where will the wheel of fortune land? What is the likely path ahead?
Просмотров 965 месяцев назад
100. The 2024 Economy Game - where will the wheel of fortune land? What is the likely path ahead?
99. FOMO - Should we dump fixed income and jump to equities? Massive stock rally may continue.
Просмотров 1396 месяцев назад
99. FOMO - Should we dump fixed income and jump to equities? Massive stock rally may continue.
98. Major turn in treasury yields - true signal or fake punt? Yields crash across the board. Wow!
Просмотров 1496 месяцев назад
98. Major turn in treasury yields - true signal or fake punt? Yields crash across the board. Wow!
97. Inflation Tamed, Political Gridlock Punted. A huge bull market is real - just kidding!
Просмотров 896 месяцев назад
97. Inflation Tamed, Political Gridlock Punted. A huge bull market is real - just kidding!
96. Value Investing All Star Stocks - which ones are they? Why? A Roadmap and results
Просмотров 896 месяцев назад
96. Value Investing All Star Stocks - which ones are they? Why? A Roadmap and results
95. IRAs - Unit 2 - contrary viewpoints - challenge me
Просмотров 607 месяцев назад
95. IRAs - Unit 2 - contrary viewpoints - challenge me

Комментарии

  • @Jl-620
    @Jl-620 8 часов назад

    If you buy a deeply discounted agency bond in the secondary market (no OID) and you hold it to maturity (more than a year away), since it matures at par value, are you taxed for the difference between your purchase price and par as a long term capital gain, or is it taxed as ordinary income? I read something about a De Minimis tax for deeply discounted municipal bonds, but I don’t know if it also applies to other bonds such as agency, treasuries, corporate, etc. Thanks in advance!

  • @keithmachado-pp6fv
    @keithmachado-pp6fv 9 часов назад

    Great point on buying above par. A similar issue happened to me on an agency bond I bought in April at Par. The YTM and YTW was 6.25% but I did not pay attention to the settlement date that was not until mid May. Now it is called and they had my funds for 6 weeks but I am only getting 3 weeks interest so 3% not 6,25%.

  • @keithmachado-pp6fv
    @keithmachado-pp6fv 10 часов назад

    Good video as always. I am 85% in fixed income with a combined rate of 5.7%. It is mostly short term with about half in T bills coming due each month with the other half divided equally between 1 or 2 year CDs, agency bonds which are starting to be called and TIPS and a 20 year nominal bond. I bought the 20 year bond in April and the coupon is 4.75% with a YTM of 4.88%. I bought it at a discount of .98 and it’s now at 1.02 so there is a nice gain.

  • @seantretiak2959
    @seantretiak2959 6 дней назад

    I have Preferred shares that I have held for years (all have paid like clock work). My issue is that given the high bid-ask spread due to low volumes, and given that they are perpetual, I have no clear exit strategy. I won't be buying any more...

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 6 дней назад

      The trick is to buy small positions so you are a fraction of the daily volume ( and therefore, you can sell all of it in one day). As long as you buy well below par, one would hope you can dump it and not take a big loss… or keep it for income

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 11 дней назад

    Happy M Day!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 10 дней назад

      Thanks Max and to all those that made our lives in the US possible

  • @LiveFreeInvesting
    @LiveFreeInvesting 13 дней назад

    I like UTHR however it doesnt pay a dividend and it has run up 30% this year. I'll look for a pullback to 200 sma 232 range to add

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 13 дней назад

      You do you. This year has been crazy for valuations indeed. Consider using fundamentals ( price to cash flow, etc.) instead of a specific price. As I am sure you would take into consideration, if their revenue and cash flow drop...and their price drops to 200, you would not buy it because price alone is not what you are focusing it. What you really mean is that you want the price to cash flow to be better by 15% or so...and if their cash flow increases by 15%, the current price would be ok for you. Am I understanding you correctly? thanks

  • @victorhinvesting
    @victorhinvesting 13 дней назад

    Good video Badri, Fixed income is your play and with higher rates it is a good place to be.

  • @therottenrook
    @therottenrook 13 дней назад

    What...?? You don't have magical powers..??? Shocking.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 13 дней назад

      And I don’t plug a hidden agenda either!

  • @victorhinvesting
    @victorhinvesting 14 дней назад

    Good video Badri, I look forward to our conversation tomorrow

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 14 дней назад

      Thanks and chat soon

  • @aperson1181
    @aperson1181 16 дней назад

    If the small tanker company is a better value, why did you invest in the larger tanker company?

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 13 дней назад

      ASC is not a winner head to head with TNK in my filters. It serves a different market and has high dividends I would own them both. You do you

  • @aperson1181
    @aperson1181 16 дней назад

    Why short-term treasuries, why not lock in the treasuries in 10 years?

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 13 дней назад

      I will do the next episode on this question I have been researching that too

  • @gregormendes1002
    @gregormendes1002 19 дней назад

    good video... could you please reduce the volume of the background music? It is irritating... good music, but very loud and disturbing

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 19 дней назад

      Appreciate the feedback and duly noted!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 13 дней назад

      Gregor - just eliminated audio in the new episode! Tks

  • @winteriscoming6501
    @winteriscoming6501 19 дней назад

    Hey young man, I'm really glad I stumbled across your channel... I like your style. Hope this isn't too terribly long winded, but I've got a 2 part question for ya if you'd be willing to entertain me... I also see alot of dark clouds on the horizon, and am filled with the feeling that a monumental crash is coming,like an asteroid hurling thru outer space on a collision course with us. I'd very much like to take some steps to financially brace for the impact, but I'm a village idiot when it comes to fixed income anything... So, my question is, in my John Hancock 401k I have some conservative options to switch into to ride out the storm: AF US Government securities Blackrock high yield bond fund DFA Inflation protected Sec Lord Abbett Short Duration Inc Or Money market fund... I just don't know if they're worth a damn. Any thoughts would truly be welcome?.. Also, in my private portfolio I have some rather large positions in Chinese companies (Alibaba & JD)... Do you think they will survive or even thrive in an American recession/ market crash?

  • @seantretiak2959
    @seantretiak2959 20 дней назад

    Love your content. Question: as coffee bean price increases, I would expect that to be a drag on Starbucks and similar because it is an input cost. I would instead look at coffee bean producers. Thanks!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 20 дней назад

      Starbucks did not miss earnings. They missed revenue. Also, coffee bean producers are not public companies. Would love to solve the mystery and see who is winning

  • @keithmachado-pp6fv
    @keithmachado-pp6fv 25 дней назад

    I am buying 20 year treasury bonds at 6.5% instead of 1 year T bills at 5%, knowing they will be getting called as yields drop. My 5 year also got called at 6.15% that I only held one month but the longer term ones are staying active between 6.0% and 6.5% for now.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 24 дня назад

      You mean agency bonds and not treasuries?

    • @keithmachado-pp6fv
      @keithmachado-pp6fv 24 дня назад

      Yes thanks for the correction.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 22 дня назад

      I keep agencies as no more than 15 pct of my allocation. Consider that. They are not completely risk free

  • @victorhinvesting
    @victorhinvesting 27 дней назад

    Good video, there are not enough videos on fixed income. I have a channel as well and I would be interested in having a livestream with you. I would interview you to get your comments on your investment strategy and process. Let me know if you would like to do that are a convenient time.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 27 дней назад

      Hi Victor My email is yieldnerd@gmail.com Kindly send me a note and I would like to learn more about you and will share more via a zoom call and we can go from there. Thanks again for reaching out

  • @jacksonsoundcloud
    @jacksonsoundcloud Месяц назад

    Curious what you think of Chinese stocks in this environment? Less sensitive to US rates, exporter benefits from US inflation, and are also value juggernauts.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      I would very humbly submit that China does not have a true separation of its markets from the government. Therefore, taking risk in such an economy is a combination of financial and diplomatic risk. Not my cup of tea.

    • @jacksonsoundcloud
      @jacksonsoundcloud 23 дня назад

      @@yieldnerd Undeniably there is a China risk. But some of these companies are so undervalued that you could price in a 30, 50% chance of the stock going to Zero, and the company is still undervalued. For example, the company is trading at 5-7x cash flow and around 1x price to book, would be worth 4-5x current valuation if it was a US company so I'm willing to take a 50% risk of Zero. Whats your thought?

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 23 дня назад

      To each their own Best wishes

  • @seantretiak2959
    @seantretiak2959 Месяц назад

    Thanks! Took a small position of TNK a few weeks ago based on my research after you alerted me to it. Nice to see it won your Superbowl. Keep up the excellent content!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Thanks and let us hope we are both right!

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    Thanks for the elaborations and analysis. You are a great teacher.

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    Hi! Yield Nerd, Thank you for the insightful analysis. I have been closely following your work and conducting thorough research on your value stock recommendations. I would like to discuss two issues that have come to my attention. Firstly, I have examined UAA, which initially appears to be in good shape. However, upon further investigation, I discovered that they have a significantly high amount of total liabilities as of 3/31/2023 (2,859 million) in comparison to their total debt (674 million) and total equity (1,998 million). Consequently, their total liabilities to equity ratio stands at an alarmingly high level of 143%, which does not reflect in their debt to equity ratio. I am curious whether it would be more informative to consider the total liabilities to equity ratio instead of solely relying on the long-term debt to equity ratio, which can be manipulated by the company. Secondly, I have analyzed TNK's balance sheet over the past five years (2019-2023). One thing that stands out is the significant reduction in their total debt, which decreased from 1,240 million to 140 million. I'm perplexed as to how the company managed to generate the necessary funds to substantially reduce such a large debt burden. While it appears that the company disposed of some assets, the numbers don't seem to align. I believe you may have a more comprehensive understanding of their balance sheet and can provide insights to address this anomaly. Thank you for your attention and I look forward to your insights on these matters. Best regards, Wing

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 29 дней назад

      Their operating cash flow is stunning - they pay off debts with that Every time a tanker stays out in water longer, they get paid more

  • @ChrisMarx
    @ChrisMarx Месяц назад

    Adding chapter sections to your video would be really nice. It was surprising to wait till 12:47 to see the first time the nvidia of eggs actually has the name dropped. New visitors might not have twelve minutes to wait for the secret.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      aaaargh Chris - I figured it out now - I was adding the timestamps to the "problems" section and that does not do a thing. I will now edit and add chapters to as many of the previous videos as possible - thanks a lot for pointing that out!

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    I appreciate your analysis deeply. ADM does appear to be a promising investment. If it’s not too much trouble, could you possibly share your insights regarding the preferred stocks (HTIBP)? I realize it might be difficult to revisit past experiences, but your wisdom could serve as a guiding light for other investors. You also seem to hold another preferred stock, PCG-B, which appears to be an attractive investment once more. Could you shed some light on any potential risks? Thank you in advance.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Many thanks for your comments Will share more about all of them next week. I completed this week’s episode already

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    Thanks for sharing your investment experience. Is it possible to share what the differences are between the new and old filters? Why is it related to being greedy? Cheers!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Ha there aren’t too many differences - I added price to cash flow since cash flow in $5 per share is irrelevant if the share price is $10 vs $100 I will review that as well in the next episode Thanks for watching

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    What a great analysis! 👏

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Glad you think so!

  • @seantretiak2959
    @seantretiak2959 Месяц назад

    All investments show that same drop on ex-date. It is the market that discounts the investment by the amount of the dividend (which will be paid to the owner as of the ex-date regardless of who owns that stock on the dividend pay date). It is NOT the fund manager crashing the stock. I continue to learn alongside you so wanted to share that tidbit.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Sean - many thanks for the lesson. I will send you a seesaw pattern if you would like to share your email yieldnerd@gmail.com - the precision seems a bit too manufactured to be a large market adjusting the minute after the open on the ex date

  • @Paul-dorsetuk
    @Paul-dorsetuk Месяц назад

    Excellent common sense! No Chinese junior mining companies here.

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    Thanks for the uncommon knowledge concerning these lesser-known entities. 😉

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      More to come! And thanks for listening

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 Месяц назад

    Hi Yield Nerd, thank you for providing great content and discussing the concept of arbitrage using the example of BDX preferred stock. I appreciate the effort, but there are some errors in the calculation that arises from the conceptualization of preferred stocks. Upon rechecking the preferred stock information on Quantumonline, the conversion price range should be $240-$288. I will use this range for the following example although this information doesn't significantly impact the discussion. I'd like to suggest an easier way to conceptualize preferred stock before diving into the yield calculation. Consider thinking of it as a call option with variable strike prices that must be exercised. There are three scenarios when the option expires, based on the market stock price: 1) above $288, 2) between $240-$288, and 3) below $240. Assuming a par value of $50 at expiration (we'll address discounts and premiums later). 1. If the stock price is trading above $288 (the strike price), a profit is always made. Hence, your Scenario B cannot be correct. 2. If the stock price is between $240-$288 (with a pro-rata strike price), we essentially buy at the market price, resulting in no gain or loss. 3. If the stock price is below $240, we will lose money because the market price is lower than the strike price ($240). Since the conversion ratio is at its highest limit, the number of shares you can get, the loss occurs. If you agree with the above scenarios, we can discuss the cases of premium and discount. For simplicity, let's ignore coupon payments for now. When the preferred stock is trading at a premium or a discount: When the stock price is between $240-$288, the preferred stock (BDXB) has a par value of $50. Therefore, any price below $50 is at a discount, while anything above $50 is a premium. When the stock price is above $288, you are guaranteed to make a profit when trading at the par value of $50. The actual profit is calculated as (stock price (let's say $291) - $288) * 0.1736 = $0.5208. Therefore, the preferred stock price should be valued at $50 + $0.5208 = $50.5208. Anything above this price is a premium, and anything below is a discount. When the stock price is below $240, you are guaranteed to experience a loss when trading at the par value of $50. The actual loss is calculated as (stock price (let's say $237) - $240) * 0.2083 = -$0.6249. Therefore, the preferred stock price should be valued at $50 - $0.6249 = $49.3751. Anything above this price is a premium, and anything below is a discount. I hope this clarifies the conceptualization of preferred stocks and the discussion regarding premiums and discounts. Cheers.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd Месяц назад

      Let me put that into a worksheet Will do and reply in detail Tks again

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 2 месяца назад

    Thx so much for the explanation.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      Thank you for listening.

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 2 месяца назад

    Thanks for the great content. However, there is a minor correction needed. Since the conversion ratio is pro rata between $226 and $185, the par value of the preferred stock (1/stock price * stock price) is always $100. The Implied RBCP column needs to be revised (values corresponding to RBC stock price >$226 are corrected). The premium calculation needed to be revised accordingly. Keep up the good work!👍

  • @winglau7713
    @winglau7713 2 месяца назад

    Hi! Yield Nerd, Thanks for putting out all the great content 👍. I learn a great deal from you. Just a friendly reminder since you said that the conversion is based on a pro rata based, I checked quantum online and the prospectus states that “ For market prices between those values the settlement rate will be $100.00 divided by the market value.” The conversion ratio should be 100/217.72 = 0.4593. 0.4593*current price ($217.72) =$99.998 (not $96.08) (round up to $100 par value for the YTM calculator) 2.27% YIELD TO MATURITY (YTM) Cheers.

  • @brianrooney4465
    @brianrooney4465 2 месяца назад

    Great analysis. Election years always make for some turbulence, it’ll be interesting to see where we go!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      Thanks Brian - hope for the country that we pull through

  • @seantretiak2959
    @seantretiak2959 2 месяца назад

    Your analysis of upstream costs of eggs was outstanding. Appreciate you.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      Thanks I am obsessed with the cost of eggs and natural gas :/)

  • @Paul-dorsetuk
    @Paul-dorsetuk 2 месяца назад

    Very interesting, thank you.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      Glad you enjoyed it Paul

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 2 месяца назад

    Financially, I missed out on the recent S&P bull market, but I enjoyed 5% plus T Bill returns and didn't worry about a stock market drop. It's been a good ride so far, and thanks for the video!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      If we all knew when a bull market starts and stops, no one would miss it. I strive to be happy with what I have and not worry about what I miss. I succeed on almost all days :/)

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 2 месяца назад

    Good evening my friend. Thanks again.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 2 месяца назад

      Hi Milton - good evening

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 3 месяца назад

    Thanks for the shout out! Great video, learned something.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 3 месяца назад

      Thank you for the questions

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 3 месяца назад

    Good evening Badri, Very informative. Love the little snippets of humor. Thank you.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 3 месяца назад

      Glad you enjoyed it

    • @seantretiak2959
      @seantretiak2959 3 месяца назад

      In scenario A you note that there is a lag between ordering a bond and the transaction date. You can eliminate this by using Fidelity - their sweep account pays around the overnight rate - 5% or so at this time. You also say that SGOV fund managers drop the price by selling shares at the ex-date. This is not correct. Mr. Market reacts to the ex-date (when dividends are committed to the then-current owner of the shares) by settling on a price that is lower by the amount of the dividend. Additionally I would point out that the upward sloping price during the month means your investment goes up daily. You are free to sell any day - you earn essentially the same daily return. No need to hold a month or really any time period. Your real cost of moving in or out is the bid-ask spread. Still, I also prefer buying T Bills for the zero fees and simple taxation - when I am not buying Agency bonds ;)

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 3 месяца назад

      Yes - sweep rates are generally lower than the t bill and … while we are counting hundredths of cents, the interest on the sweep is state taxable I tried really hard to argue against the tbill and the auction and failed!

    • @seantretiak2959
      @seantretiak2959 3 месяца назад

      @@yieldnerd I use SPAXX - still free of state and local tax, paying 4.96% as of today. Still lower than Treasuries thus I only use it as a sweep. Thanks for your content and dialogue!

  • @sierratiffany1238
    @sierratiffany1238 3 месяца назад

    Excellent education without hype! I love that you presented a very comprehensible economic context for how and why rates fluctuate. Thank you.

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 3 месяца назад

    Thank you for the video, good stuff. I continue to T-Bill and chill, but I definitely have FOMA over Nividia. Amazing to watch. If T Bills did not pay so well, I would probably jump into the market.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 3 месяца назад

      A 100 year pay back - why aren’t you jumping in? Chicken!!

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 4 месяца назад

    Good evening my friend. Great information as usual.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      Thank you my friend Have a nice evening

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 4 месяца назад

    Thanks for the video. Very helpful to point out the 6% FHLB.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      Glad it was helpful!

  • @tibet_snowman
    @tibet_snowman 4 месяца назад

    Great advice.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      Thanks a lot for your kind words

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 4 месяца назад

    You have company on the sideline....

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      Many thanks my friend

  • @aperson1181
    @aperson1181 4 месяца назад

    Could you please share your portfolio allocation w the positions? Do you have a blog/site?

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      The exact number of positions would be a bit much to share publicly. I will see how to share a proxy - perhaps the percent allocation to the top 20 equities or so tks

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 4 месяца назад

    Good evening my friend.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 4 месяца назад

      Hi There Milton - hope you have a wonderful week. thanks for watching.

    • @miltonfrancis7330
      @miltonfrancis7330 4 месяца назад

      @@yieldnerd Hi Badri. Thank you. I hope the same for you.

  • @maxseltzer3
    @maxseltzer3 5 месяцев назад

    Love starting the day with your video. Hope you have a great New Year!

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 5 месяцев назад

      You are too kind Thanks a lot and happy new year to you

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 5 месяцев назад

    Good evening, My friend. Happy New Year.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 5 месяцев назад

      Happy new year my friend

  • @deseosuho
    @deseosuho 5 месяцев назад

    You absolutely cannot make the call that a soft landing has arrived until after LEI index and manufacturing PMI turn around and go expansionary for 2-3 straight months. The aggregate economy never contracted yet, but the leading economy definitely has, and is. Look at freight volume. Look at yellow trucking. Look at the NY Fed manufacturing figures. I hope we get through 2024 without a massive spike in unemployment and a crash in corporate earnings. But if soft landing is your base case, you're already expecting the mother of all "this time it's different" with regards to leading indicators.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 5 месяцев назад

      If everything goes exactly as planned, and there is no other setback, there is a reasonable chance that there may be a soft landing. That is probably what I would say. to say the soft landing is in the bag is being extremely optimistic.

  • @miltonfrancis7330
    @miltonfrancis7330 5 месяцев назад

    Good evening my friend. Thanks again.

    • @yieldnerd
      @yieldnerd 5 месяцев назад

      Good evening, happy holidays and a wonderful new year Will pick up in 2024

    • @miltonfrancis7330
      @miltonfrancis7330 5 месяцев назад

      @@yieldnerd Good morning, Thank you. I pray the same for you and your family.