- Видео 16
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BuckleBerry
Добавлен 26 апр 2022
This is the channel I will use for anonymous videos. It's not hard to figure out who I am if you try, but I want this channel to remain anonymous because my identity is not pertinent to the content--my identity is irrelevant. Enjoy!
(Since someone did request some kind of qualifications, here's a vague summary that should still maintain anonymity: Master's and Doctoral degrees in a STEM field, have published research, have peer-reviewed for a high-ranking journal, not currently in academia...yes, at least one of my degrees is in an earth science directly studying the things I talk about here.)
(Since someone did request some kind of qualifications, here's a vague summary that should still maintain anonymity: Master's and Doctoral degrees in a STEM field, have published research, have peer-reviewed for a high-ranking journal, not currently in academia...yes, at least one of my degrees is in an earth science directly studying the things I talk about here.)
Nature is Resilient
Maybe I'm biased. I definitely am biased. But like Jeff Goldblum says in Jurassic Park, "Life finds a way."
Whatever happened to the webpages dedicated to him watching us poop?
Whatever happened to the webpages dedicated to him watching us poop?
Просмотров: 476
Видео
The Crisis Report
Просмотров 2097 месяцев назад
From what I can gather, "The Crisis Report" is a report on Richard Crim's existential crisis. He's scared, and that's okay (a reasonable response), but he is still prone to exaggerating the weight of certain factors to suggest a disproportionate amount of significance for those factors (to fit personal narrative/biases/etc.), among other issues. Common stuff, really. He's fighting a war inside ...
Beckwith: fan of Musk, Mars, longtermism, and geoengineering?
Просмотров 937 месяцев назад
Paul does a generally good job at communicating climate science. But how do his personal biases affect his analyses and conclusions? Keep those in mind when viewing.
The Role of El Niño in Recent Temperature Anomalies (and Hansen's "Hopium" piece)
Просмотров 958 месяцев назад
While I agree with Hansen's general explanation of the role of aerosol reduction in recent warming, I don't agree with how he downplays the influence of the current/recent El Niño. What does the coming La Niña have in store? Time will tell...
Arctic Methane Hydrates, March 2024 (Peter Carter)
Просмотров 3399 месяцев назад
Pete needs to brush up on his Arctic geography.
For New Doomers part 2: Don't blame yourself
Просмотров 11410 месяцев назад
Don't get bogged down blaming yourself for exhibiting the traits common to all living beings. You are a living being. You are here, it is now, and you can change what happens next. I asked AI to make an image for the thumbnail and it was so ridiculous that I just had to use it.
Nature Worth Fighting For
Просмотров 7411 месяцев назад
Just doing some rambling on the nature of nature and mass extinctions. How do you fight for *your* local ecosystem?
Antarctic Influence on Global Average Air Temperature Anomalies
Просмотров 75Год назад
Antarctica comin' in hot (for Antarctic standards, anyway).
November 2023 Climate Update: 6 sigma event, El Nino forecast, and Arctic sea ice growth
Просмотров 162Год назад
Just an update on ENSO/Arctic sea ice and some extra context for the 6-sigma global average sea surface temperature anomaly.
For New Doomers part 1: Contextualizing our place demographically
Просмотров 172Год назад
If you are new to topics like "overshoot," it is common (and understandable) to react in mortal terror. One of the things that helps is to contextualize our place globally and in terms of history (it helps me, anyway).
2023 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Analysis (When can we expect a "blue ocean event"?)
Просмотров 129Год назад
Talking about these things for about 5 minutes too long. I repeat myself too much.
Unprecedented: a new "step up" in global sea surface temperature cycles
Просмотров 109Год назад
For the first time in recent history, the September peak in global sea surface temperatures is higher than March peak, creating a significantly higher starting point for the (larger) southern ocean as it begins heating for the year. Sorry for the repetition in this video it was largely unplanned. Will keep monitoring and perhaps revisit at a later date.
Short-term relationships between atmospheric CO2 and sea surface temperatures
Просмотров 42Год назад
Or, not really a thing (relative to the main driver of sea surface temperature: insolation). Pay no mind to the deniers.
Review: Busy Workers Handbook to the Apocalypse
Просмотров 1,9 тыс.Год назад
I had to cut about 10 minutes out to keep it under the 15 minute limit for unverified accounts. I had a lot more to say, but these are a few of the main issues I had with this piece. In regards to the sea ice section: the handbook is talking about Arctic ice so I am talking about Arctic ice (not global ice). Remember: climate change is not uniform. Collapse is not uniform. Broad strokes may or ...
Guy McPherson debunked
Просмотров 900Год назад
Critique of his "Paths to Extinction" video. This is all I could cram into 15 minutes (time limit for the free screen recorder), though I could go on... To be clear: we ARE in a climate emergency. But preaching NTHE removes people's hope. That leads to negative outcomes. It removes people's impetus to act and we need people to act more than ever, because every fraction of a degree matters. Don'...
Much has gone extinct in way too short a time.
What some people don't realize is that seeds stay dormant until the proper environment to grow. Every time I've seen a place that was cleared of trees, eventually they all grow back. As long as the soil has NOT been "cultivated", for a lack of a better term.
How bout you don't narrate anything like that anymore. It was an interesting idea, but having to hear you explain that by being in front of the greenhouse you are no longer a few feet above ground but on ground level. My dude, is you making a video for your 4 year old with down syndrome?
This guy does seem a bit nutty. If you read his writing you just notice so many things
thanks for the video! hope everything's good with you!
All is well here, just been busy. Will be making more videos soon. Thanks!
You caught me, I'm here doomscrolling when I should get back to learning about permaculture.
All that stored fat, so much survival!
Last night I was reading a book about bears with my younger child, thinking about hibernation, and wondering if humans could do it, and then I remembered about Angus Barbieri. So we looked him up, read the details, and I think yes, we could totally hibernate if we wanted.
Musk has a lot of engineers working for him, but are there any biologists or ecologists? Seems important if you want to found a self sustaining community on another planet.
I really appreciate you making these videos
Paul has always struck me as a very weird guy, even as someone who's only seen a handful of his videos and pretty much all of them back in 2020 when I was deep into my super depressive doomer phase that i jad been building up to for a few years at that point. Him buying into great man theory esque Musk hype isn't exactly surprising, it's just disappointing
We have to hang onto our mental health because it leads to bad physical health that we all need to be as good as we can physically. You're not wrong here. I can't believe I stumbled into this channel!
The "That didn't happen" is regards to CO2 levels that haven't occurred in the past 3 million years or more for the arctic!! So Peter Wadhams ALSO said the arctic ice would be gone. GEE McFearSun has long said that the "linear model" was wrong. So it's off by 10 years - big deal. James E. Hansen also emphasizes the Aerosol Masking Effect as the MAIN cause of warming now. This is corroborated by Daniel Rosenfeld's research - you can look it up - it's twice as bad as previously thought. That means a 40% decrease in burning coal (sulfates) heats up Earth another 1 degree Celsius.
"the scientists don't do that because they know where the baseline is"? That's a logical error called "brown-No$ing" hahaha.
If you're such a "hot shot" on arctic methane why don't you just use googlescholar to read the latest research from Natalia Shakhova? First Calibrated Methane Bubble Wintertime Observations in the Siberian Arctic Seas: Selected Results from the Fast Ice by Denis Chernykh 1,2,3,* [ORCID] , Natalia Shakhova 1,2,3, Vladimir Yusupov 1,2,4 [ORCID] , Elena Gershelis 2,5,6 [ORCID] , Boris Morgunov 3 and Igor Semiletov 1,2,3,5,* 1 V.I. Ilyichev Pacific Oceanological Institute, Far Eastern Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 690041 Vladivostok, Russia 2 Laboratory of the Arctic Land Shelf Interaction, Tomsk State University, 634050 Tomsk, Russia 3 Institute of Ecology, Higher School of Economics (HSE), 101000 Moscow, Russia 4 Federal Scientific Research Center “Crystallography and Photonics” RAS, Institute of Photon Technologies, 108840 Moscow, Russia 5 School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, Russia 6 International Research Center for Ecology and Climate Change, Sirius University of Science and Technology, 354340 Sochi, Russia "In winter, the flux of CH4 transported by rising bubbles to the bottom water in the shallow part of the ESAS was estimated at ~19 g·m−2 per day, while the flux reaching the water/sea ice interface was calculated as ~15 g·m−2 per day taking into account the diffusion of CH4 in the surrounding water and the enrichment of rising bubbles with nitrogen and oxygen. We suggest that this bubble-transported CH4 flux reaching the water /sea ice interface can be emitted into the atmosphere through numerous ice trenches, leads, and polynyas. This CH4 ebullition value detected at the water/sea ice interface is in the mid high range of CH4 ebullition value estimated for the entire ESAS, and two orders higher than the upper range of CH4 ebullition from the northern thermocarst lakes, which are considered as a significant source to the atmospheric methane budget."
Oh my gosh I've enjoyed this analysis so much!
what evidence do you have that "Sam" is "not" a scientist? NONE! Actually you switch from his blogs back to "arctic-news" without actually scrutinizing "arctic-news" itself! That's much sloppier than any accusations you make against "sam carana." Just go back into the archives of Arctic-news - you obviously are not interested in the specifics of the blog content and just want to dismiss it. Maria Carmen Solana was posting using the SAME graphics as "sam carana" - and she has done scientific research on the same topics - and she is a professor. She suddenly stopped using her name and yet the same info with the same graphics continued as "sam carana."
Wow!!!!! 👆
what evidence do you (this youtube channel) have that "Sam" is "not" a scientist? NONE! Actually you switch from his blogs back to "arctic-news" without actually scrutinizing "arctic-news" itself! That's much sloppier than any accusations you make against "sam carana." Just go back into the archives of Arctic-news - you obviously are not interested in the specifics of the blog content and just want to dismiss it. Maria Carmen Solana was posting using the SAME graphics as "sam carana" - and she has done scientific research on the same topics - and she is a professor. She suddenly stopped using her name and yet the same info with the same graphics continued as "sam carana."
Jun 10, 2014 - There are such massive methane reserves below the Arctic Ocean ... Arctic methane be released into the atmosphere (Light and Solana, 2012). Dr Carmen Solana, AssocJan 30, 2019 - data for Greenland and Antarctica only; small Arctic ice caps and ice shelf melt add to freshwater input.⁽¹¹⁾ ... and global warming, Nice, France, 2002, by Malcolm Light and Carmen Solana iate Professor in Volcanology and Risk Communications, PhD Supervisor ... Can we turn a hazard into a development tool? The case of methane hydrates in permafrost (Maria Carmen Solana) 29) Arctic methane hydrates- strategies to reduce a potential greenhouse gas hazard (Maria Carmen Solana) Arctic Atmospheric Methane Global Warming Veil The Arctic Atmospheric 'Methane Global Warming Veil'. Its Origin in the Arctic Subsea and Mantle and the Timing of the Global Terminal Extinction Events by 2040 to 2050 - A Review. By Malcolm P.R. Light, Harold Hensel and Sam Carana June 8th, 2014 Abstract Methane formed by organisms in the water becomes trapped in the fabric of water ice crystals when it freezes and is stable below about 300 meters depth in the Arctic Ocean and on the shallow East Arctic Siberian Shelf. There are such massive methane reserves below the Arctic Ocean floor, that they represent around 100 times the amount that is required to cause a Permian style major extinction event, should the subsea Arctic methane be released in a short period of time into the atmosphere (Light and Solana, 2012-2014, Carana 2012 - 2014)."
At least Lay a covering on the ocean floor where the deposits are, and perforate to mine and use, instead of allowing an eventual disaster. Methane caltrates/hydrates are potential energy sources and are many time greater than all of the world's oil and coal deposits combined.
Who cares? Methane just increases the CO2 levels - burning it is just as bad a burning coal for CO2 emissions.
What do you think overall about the "imminent runaway warming from methane via permafrost melt positive feedback loop" or whatever you'd call it. It's something that has concerned me in the past but I've increasingly noticed that almost everyone panicing about it are people in blogs and comment sections, not actual scientists. As I understand from the literature I've seen, we still don't have a good understanding of how exactly methane is released from permafrost when it melts, if significant amounts are released at all. Also that methane has a much shorter lifespan in the atmosphere than CO2. Anyway, I don't actually know anything so would be interested in what you think.
I don't think we know enough yet, but in a way the point is moot: the mechanisms that would cause an Arctic methane feedback loop are the same ones that are causing more immediate problems, so the best we can do is address those root causes. I'm more concerned about other methane sources (than this one) in the near term.
@@buckleberry4259 You personally have concerns - that's nice - but you are ignoring the actual research on the world's largest ocean shelf - the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. Jim Massa, Ph.D. oceanographer worked personally with Natalia Shakhova's research group. It's solid science. First Calibrated Methane Bubble Wintertime Observations in the Siberian Arctic Seas: Selected Results from the Fast Ice by Denis Chernykh 1,2,3,* [ORCID] , Natalia Shakhova 1,2,3, Vladimir Yusupov 1,2,4 [ORCID] , Elena Gershelis 2,5,6 [ORCID] , Boris Morgunov 3 and Igor Semiletov 1,2,3,5,* 1 V.I. Ilyichev Pacific Oceanological Institute, Far Eastern Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 690041 Vladivostok, Russia 2 Laboratory of the Arctic Land Shelf Interaction, Tomsk State University, 634050 Tomsk, Russia 3 Institute of Ecology, Higher School of Economics (HSE), 101000 Moscow, Russia 4 Federal Scientific Research Center “Crystallography and Photonics” RAS, Institute of Photon Technologies, 108840 Moscow, Russia 5 School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, Russia 6 International Research Center for Ecology and Climate Change, Sirius University of Science and Technology, 354340 Sochi, Russia "In winter, the flux of CH4 transported by rising bubbles to the bottom water in the shallow part of the ESAS was estimated at ~19 g·m−2 per day, while the flux reaching the water/sea ice interface was calculated as ~15 g·m−2 per day taking into account the diffusion of CH4 in the surrounding water and the enrichment of rising bubbles with nitrogen and oxygen. We suggest that this bubble-transported CH4 flux reaching the water /sea ice interface can be emitted into the atmosphere through numerous ice trenches, leads, and polynyas. This CH4 ebullition value detected at the water/sea ice interface is in the mid high range of CH4 ebullition value estimated for the entire ESAS, and two orders higher than the upper range of CH4 ebullition from the northern thermocarst lakes, which are considered as a significant source to the atmospheric methane budget."
Sam Carana is a Volcanologist. I know him personally. We have met. He cofounded the Arctic Methane Emergency Group (AMEG). You made the wrong assumption when you said he works for a company. He works for a government. That is how he gets classified information. Annually we have not crossed 2°C but we have crossed 1.5°C. We had one month at 2°C globally. This coming summer is going to be absolutely brutal and if you want to keep misinforming people then by all means do. The world is overpopulated as it is and people are going to die. You cannot have exponential growth on a finite planet. Do yourself a favor and look at crop losses in the past year. It won't matter where you are because every country is seeing crop losses. That is why food prices keep going up. The IPCC is too conservative in their reports and every scientist out there will tell you the same thing. Everything they said that would be happening in 2100 is happening right now 76 years too soon. But by all means, spread misinformation because that denial isn't going to save you or anyone else. China is the biggest threat with their greenhouse gases and there is nothing anyone can do to stop them. So accept it and move on.
So first we get Malcolm Light with Coauthor Carmen Solana. Then suddenly she DISAPPEARS as Co-author and Malcolm Light has a NEW coauthor names Sam Carana. North Siberian Arctic Permafrost Methane Eruption Vents, by Malcolm P.R. Light, Harold H. Hensel and Sam Carana, 2015
I know who Sam Carana is since I do actually talk to him. @@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885
Great stuff, very enlightening 👏
If humans are overpopulated, for every 1 human baby born there are ~572 other babies born onto farms. We need to stop breeding other beings to kill and eat them. Animal agriculture uses 83% of global farmland and only provides 18% of global calories. When we switch to a plant based food system, we can restore/reforest 76% of global farmland AND be able to feed all humans. -journal Science Animal agriculture is the leading cause of deforestation, habitat destruction, water pollution, ocean dead zones and *species extinction* . -United Nations FAO
Hi. Just letting you know that these videos do help me. Please continue to post. Thanks!
I don't tend to separate non-life from nature. So, life is a product of nature. The image is a still. Do you suppose the frog wouldn't try to eat the butterfly? That the tree branch isn't part of a tree that would consume the droppings, or the decomposed remains of the frog when it dies? How about the cycles of nature that life has become adapted to, such as tides, seasons, night and day? It's all processes. The chemical processes that were influenced by the cycles to bring life about. I don't think we're nearly as separate from non-life as you appear to think. When we talk about the nature of something, I guess there are different interpretations, your reference to anthropomorphism being one of them. I tend to think of "the nature" of something as its properties, its limits, its relationship to the rest of what it is within the range of influence of other elements of its environment. The early part of the earth's existence was still undergoing processes that brought life about. There are many extinction events that took place over the course of earth's existence. There are even questions regarding what actually brought about the extinction of the dinosaurs. Flood Basalts being a key one. And the reason there is suspicion is that the history of Flood Basalts correlates to tightly to extinction events. That doesn't mean the meteor didn't have an effect. And I realize correlation isn't causation. But much of the time, changes in environment to the point where only a few can survive, are the cause of mass extinctions. Right now, we're in an upset of the carbon cycle. We've upset that cycle. Institutions have upset that cycle. When you say life needs to fight for its survival, I agree. But we're not alone. There is a life that is fighting for its survival. The life of the corporation. The life of the wealthy. And they're fighting the other corporations threatening to steal their dominance. The fossil fuel industry vs anything that detracts from their ability to maintain dominance. And they have the resources to inject influence in many arenas that influence our existence. They have worked diligently to undermine labor, which, in the past, acted as a limiter to their expansion, by destroying the culture of unionism and organizing. This is another environmental imbalance that has brought about the rise of waste and income disparity to the point where the disparity stratifies more and more. Some think this is a good thing. They think that the wealthy know better what to do with resources. It's a myth. Their greatest concern is competition. And I think the only way of bringing balance back is to promote labor organizing. It can be a very powerful force. You can't protect yourself from an institution except by the use of another institution.
I pay my dues every month. It's another way of fighting.
@@buckleberry4259 We all have a part to play. Much appreciated. Might I suggest reading Jane McAlevey's "A Collective Bargain: Unions, Organizing, and the Fight for Democracy" Union busting is a major industry. And there are other ways to disarm them.
I wouldn't have much problems with the solitaire panda, not wanting to mate, going extinct. Nor with the suffering milkcows or meatchickens, although it would be sad for the last ones alive. I hate to see insects dying because of a too long drought (I mean, in my normally always wet country. During dry periods I carry a juice bottle, just to save desperate bees/wasps). Footage of an orangutan defending his forest against machines, I had to turn off. I just related to much. It's the same as seeing people suffer from hunger or war. Empathy doesn't stop because it's not near. And there has to be a story. Your butterfly/frog picture doesn't tell much. If a rock drops on their head, I wouldn't feel sad. I would feel sad if the frog would eat the butterfly alive though. I hate suffering. Mother nature can be cruel too. Unconsciously: I have 2 types of dream in which I swim. Sometimes in nature, those are beautiful. Sometimes in a tilled bath, those are nightmares.
I appreciate the heads up. Showing is better than telling. In your McPherson video, you show Carana's creative line fitting that is very striking, that McPherson seizes to support near term human extinction. Walking us through some of that would be much more compelling thank telling us he is not a scientist and doing things wrong.
Hi there. I don't have access to climate reanalyser. Are antarctic heat waves a new thing, or are past years' peaks also due to antarctic heat waves?
There can be heat waves (relative to average) in any region...now more frequent and more extreme. Other regions may be warmer than their regional average at any given time, but it basically takes an Antarctic heat wave to push the global average to new records. You could be having record heat across the northern midlatitudes (like North American, Europe, Asia, etc., for example) but it won't set a global record if cooler Antarctic temps (and maybe other regional temps) bring the global average down. It just has to do with how global temperatures are averaged. I personally pay more attention to regional temperatures/trends because of their relationship to specific ecosystems--but these might not make headlines in the same way
Good video! Thank you. The Arctic sea ice is looking not so good the last few days…the chart anyhow. The Antarctic sea ice appears to be on a downward spiral and temps are looking above average. 2024 is going to be a doozy 🥵
I've noticed the stall in Arctic growth. This past week has seen air temperature anomalies 5-6C above in the Arctic region--harder to grow new ice at the edges for sure, but hopefully it'll pick back up when the heatwave passes. IF the heatwave passes. I mean, it has to, but it will probably linger longer than expected.
I was wondering, what exactly are your thoughts on the late Michael Dowd? I know you made a remark about him in your Guy McPherson, but I'm curious about what your thoughts on him and his ideas are. There's a lot of people I'd like to ask your opinion on, but I don't want to bombard you with a ton of questions, so I'd like to ask you in advance if I can ask them
I liked Michael as a person and had some lovely conversations with him. Some of his work (and his wife's work, especially the tree planting) suggest a desire to invest in resilience. I think to some extent he was "steered" by his online following to be doomier than he actually was (that group seemed to be dominated by a few loud NTHE proponents that felt humanity would all be gone in 5 years or less, and so I think he was compelled to make some concessions to keep them in the flock, so to speak, and that included endorsing Guy--this is just my opinion, of course, and my exposure to his online group was brief). Most of his posted conversations are very helpful and valuable to a lot of people--there are a few I tried to watch that got a bit woo and I had to skip, but for the most part the guests are solid and it's a valuable body of work. It may not come through (I don't really rehearse/edit these videos), but that reference was meant to be a bit of an elbow nudge, like "Come on, Michael, we both know Guy is doing more harm than good." I am personally committed to resilience, and I'm trying to find that line to help keep people informed yet motivated.
Good presentation, thanks 👏
I try to search up your channel and all I get is clips for show called brickleberry
Yeh iunno if I agree with that bit about us having to give up extended lifespans to reduce strain on ecosystems. I'm sure Improvements to medical technology and such could allow life expectancy to increase (or at least decrease slower until reaching a stable level) if the right life style changes were made I think it's unlikely we'll make those changes but I can't imagine it would be physically impossible
I seem to remember seeing a paper about how that, if humanity were to live perfectly sustainably and equitably, we'd be able to maintain the quality of life of Switzerland in the 1970s, which is a far cry from returning to preindustrial life expectancies
Future generations will have the benefit of knowing the importance of hygiene, disposal of sewage, how diseases spread, etc., so I don't think that (on average) life expectancy would drop that low again barring something like war or new diseases. Even with limited access to medicine, that knowledge alone will be a huge benefit (and its importance guarantees it will be preserved and prioritized so long as we can). This is more for understanding how unprecedented our current expectations are--once we can recalibrate those expectations, it's a step toward acceptance and moving forward more peacefully.
@@buckleberry4259 you say once we recalibrate our expectations, as though that's something normal people can do in one lifetime, this video is nice self soothing but normal people are gonna bring about a lifetime of stress and suffering for all of us
In my country retirement age currently is 67, and by the time I'm that age (I'm 57 now) they expect it to be 67 and 9 months. For the people with nice, good payed jobs, I think that's okay. But for the people with low payed and often physical jobs that's to late, specially given that they die much younger.
thank you for this. really helped me calm down. im still confused (and stressed) with hansen's paper, even jf it hasnt been peer-reviewed yet. is he saying that were going to see 10 degrees celcius within our lifetimes? sorry if it sounds like a dumb question. my anxiety is fixated on the environment right now
Nope, it would take several centuries and require that the level of CO2 in the atmosphere remain constant over that time
5 min to long? 😂 I can handle 5 min. It's the hours to long, or the daily repeating themselves I dislike.
I live in the Netherlands (in between South England and North Germany). We were just north of this summer's heath dome, with a slightly wet and cold summer as a result. Most people didn't realise how lucky we were, and still are (cheap vegetables).
It was too cool and wet for our garden in general, but our potatoes, turnips, and strawberries did well. We only had to water the garden once or twice. Lucky indeed!
Short but clear. Just the way I like it. 👍🏻
Could you please elaborate on the comment about there likely not being people to monitor the satellite data? Are you expecting collapse to be in such a state by say the 2040s that there will be a significant population reduction or something of that sort? Or is it something else?
Sorry but little things like that really stand out to me and now I'm freaking out a little is all
Where I am currently I don't really have the necessary support to prep for things like this but am hoping that will change in a few years after I move cities
I'm pretty confident I could survive okay if it was as simple as first world countries collapsing into third world conditions, but I don't know if that would be enough to prevent us from being able to monitor satellite data so it sounds like what you're predicting is worse than that Sorry about the multiple comments, I just suffer pretty badly from anxiety and hyper fixation on such
It's really hard to say. I'm definitely not as doomy as some, but I think that we will have to undergo some serious reorganization by mid-century no matter what--even if we were able to maintain a stable climate, we would still have issues stemming from demographic collapse in a lot of the developed world, reductions in available cheap energy, and various other issues--so that even the best-case scenario would be degrowth (whether voluntary or not). I would imagine that sea ice monitoring would be a low priority if governments are having to prioritize how to allocate resources (so long, NASA!). I'm sorry if this caused anxiety--if anything, one of my goals here is to alleviate some of the anxiety caused by those preaching imminent collapse. Sure, it's possible, but I want to emphasize that there are still things that can be done on small, medium, and large scales, but prompt action is required.
@@buckleberry4259 alright, thank you so very much for that clarification, that makes perfect sense to me! have a good day 😃
In regards to contracting, you said that we shouldn't get a dog after losing one to old age. But what if I want to help raise animals in need? I love dogs and wish to see them be loved.
I'm sure it's a bit different of a case if you happen to own dogs vs looking after dogs is your primary thing, tho you should probably at least mentally prepare for not being able to take care for as many as you can now
It was probably not the best example (just the first one that popped in my head while narrating along), but the general idea is that many of us are used to having way more than is necessary. I love dogs and will always want to have at least one, but consider how much infrastructure and resources are dedicated to the pet food and care industries (and how much biomass they represent!). Whether it's extra pets, a new car (when the old one was fixable), retail therapy, or whatever--we are wasteful and tend to have way more than we need at any given time. My dogs are shelter adoptions and all are spayed/neutered. Helping to raise any needy creature is a beautiful thing--I just hope we can see the puppy mills and specialty breeders lose their market sooner rather than later. Dogs are so valuable to us (as a species) that we will find a way to keep them around as long as we ourselves are still around.
@buckleberry4259 I mean, I would agree that maybe we should hold off from recklessly breeding animals that don't have a set plan for ownership yet. And I do feel that it'd be better if there were less creatures that need feeding. But other than that, this is a rather conflicting subject for me to think about.
@@cadethumann8605The estimates are, that there are twice as much dogs as there are pet dogs, and 3 times as much cats as pet cats. Adopt don't shop, and spread the word.
@harrynac6017 But in the case of pets, isn't shopping for one adoption? How can I avoid shopping and simply adopt (and besides, either eay, the animals wouldn't have someone to take care of them, no?)?
Next year is gonna suck, but the real worry is that it could be considered normal in a few decades
You brought some fair criticism regarding this article. I agreed with a lot of its content but I didn't like the conspiratorial tone it had, like the idea that all these new cops are hired to deal with the consequences of climate change. I also thought quite a few papers were misrepresented. I still think that you are too optimistic and that a global famine within the next decade or two is very likely and that there won't be humans by the end of the century.
How come this says 11 comments and only seven are visible and one of the missing ones is mine?
Good question...some may have been "held for review" but they get deleted after 60 days? I don't check this channel very often. What was your comment?
Whereabouts (roughly) are you getting cool, buggy summers? 🪲🐛 I'm jealous
Thank you for this analysis. I was once completely overwhelmed by thinking in worst case scenario way. Not only thinking that these scenarios are inevitable, but imminent as well. It certainly doesn't help, it is draining and instead of gathering people around you to help combat the problem puts them away. Thank you again :)
Appreciate the comments, I read this recently and it definitely is designed to freak someone out. I don't disagree with the general conclusion that shit is going to hit the fan, but some of it definitely seemed a little bit of an overreaction. Curious if you think there will be widespread impacts in the next 10-20 years - not societal collapse, but serious disruptions to our way of life - based on your research/knowledge. I know that's a fool's errand since no one can predict the future, but seems like we are making too little changes, too slowly.
That much is all that is certain
Thank you for this review! I appreciate your perspectives and couldn't agree more with your final conclusions.
Thank you for the analysis. However, the idea that "my identity is irrelevant" isn't exactly true is it. We cannot verify your credentials without knowing who you are. If you want to be taken more seriously then a guy in a pickup and a ball cap ranting at a cell phone we need to know you are qualified. I'd like to respect your breakdown but I have no reason whatsoever to accept you are qualified counter his claims. Maybe you are, but how are we to know that?
Well, keeping it vague enough to remain anonymous: Doctoral degree in a STEM field Former peer reviewer for high-ranking journal Published original research Spent a lot of time on sea ice and I also tend to wear a ball cap when driving my pickup truck.
Thank you. I read that piece and was confused about his intentions. As soon as I read the unproven and even conspirational statement about the US destroying Nordstream I came to the following diagnosis: The author might be a well-educated left-wing extremist. He tries to educate others with actually good studies and data, but concludes something that makes only sense to me when your intellectual edifice is rooted in the extreme left-wing dichotomy of good working class vs exploitative billionaires. And I say this as a moderately left-wing person myself.
I'm a lill sleep deprived and read through it in a less than ideal mental state, it felt like one hell of a sucker-punch. The Hansen paper aint exactly shitting rainbows but man, thanks for the little slap back to reality.
6:35 BuckleBerry says yes, do read the paper